中国碳排放交易权机制的政策效果分析——基于双重差分模型的估计

发布时间：2018-04-08 18:24

本文选题：碳排放交易权　切入点：双重差分模型　出处：《中国环境科学》2017年06期

【摘要】：在控制地区环境规制等重要解释变量下,检验碳排污交易权试点机制在中国是否能促进我国的低碳经济转型.研究结果显示:在全局DEA框架下,考察期内,碳排放交易权试点省份与非试点省份的工业全要素生产率提升乏力.从潜在双重红利来看,相对于试点省份,非试点省份的减排手段缺乏灵活性,其经济红利和环境红利仍有较大的释放空间.基于核匹配双重差分模型的政策效应分析可知,碳排污权交易机制在一定程度上降低现阶段碳排放总量,但对经济产出的影响微弱;碳排放交易权试点政策并没有提高试点省份的工业全要素生产率,而对技术进步率有显著的提升作用.因此,碳排放交易权机制在一定程度上支持了技术创新的"弱波特假说",而对全要素生产率的"强波特假说"并未显现,碳排放交易权机制应该是我国实现低碳经济转型的必要措施.
[Abstract]:Under the important explanatory variables such as controlling regional environmental regulation and so on, this paper tests whether the pilot mechanism of carbon emission trading right can promote the transformation of low-carbon economy in China.The results show that under the framework of global DEA, the total factor productivity of industry in the pilot and non-pilot provinces of carbon emission trading rights is weak.From the perspective of potential double dividend, compared with the pilot provinces, the non-pilot provinces lack flexibility in reducing emissions, and their economic dividends and environmental dividends still have more room to release.The policy effect analysis based on the nuclear matching double difference model shows that the carbon emission trading mechanism reduces the total carbon emission to a certain extent, but has a weak effect on the economic output.The pilot policy of carbon emission trading rights does not improve the total factor productivity of industry in the pilot provinces, but has a significant effect on the rate of technological progress.Therefore, the carbon emissions trading right mechanism supports the "weak Porter hypothesis" of technological innovation to some extent, but the "strong Porter hypothesis" of total factor productivity does not appear.The carbon emission trading right mechanism should be the necessary measure to realize the low-carbon economy transformation in our country.
【作者单位】：东北财经大学经济学院;东北财经大学经济计量分析与预测研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71603042,71571035) 辽宁省高等学校优秀人才支持计划(WJQ2014031) 辽宁省教育科学"十三五"规划项目(JG16DB114) 国家社会科学基金重大项目(15DZA011);国家社会科学基金项目(14BJL089)
【分类号】：X196

【相似文献】