中国对日本出口贸易隐含碳排放及其影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-06-13 13:48

本文选题：隐含碳排放 + 中国对日本出口贸易　；参考：《东北师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪以来,各国在注重经济发展的同时也越来越注重能源消耗、环境污染和碳排放问题,而日益频繁的贸易往来和隐含碳排放的关系也受到越来越多组织及个人的关注。中国和日本作为亚洲地区的重要经济体,且经济贸易关系态势良好,中国对日本出口贸易额逐年增加。目前,中国是世界上最大的碳排放国之一,其中很大一部分碳排放的增加是由于出口贸易,为日本等其他主要贸易伙伴制造商品,因此测算中国对日本出口贸易隐含碳排放量和探究其影响因素有重要的意义。本文首先根据2000-2014年中国投入产出表、各部门能源消耗表、中国对日本出口贸易额的行业部门分类,重新对各表中行业部门进行整合分类,保证统一口径。再利用投入产出模型,计算2000-2014年中国对日本出口贸易隐含碳排放量。结果表明,在2000-2014年期间,中国对日本出口贸易隐含碳排放总体呈现上升趋势,且隐含碳排放压力主要集中在高污染、高耗能、低附加值的5个行业部门,分别是,(14)其他制造业、(12)通用、专用设备制造业、(4)纺织业、(7)石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业、(8)化学工业。然后根据建立的结构分解分析模型将总效应分解为技术效应、结构效应和规模效应,探究各个效应对总效应的影响作用及强度。结果表明,规模效应相较于其他两个因素,其影响强度最大,且规模效应的增加会促进隐含碳排放的增加;结构效应的影响强度最小,总体呈现促进隐含碳排放的作用;而技术效应会抑制隐含碳排放的增加。根据本文的主要结论,提出具有可行性的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, countries pay more and more attention to energy consumption, environmental pollution and carbon emissions, while more and more organizations and individuals pay attention to the relationship between trade and implied carbon emissions. As an important economy in Asia, China and Japan have good economic and trade relations, and the trade volume between China and Japan is increasing year by year. At present, China is one of the largest carbon emitters in the world, and much of the increase in carbon emissions is due to export trade, making goods for other major trading partners such as Japan. Therefore, it is of great significance to estimate China's implied carbon emissions from Japan's export trade and to explore its influencing factors. Firstly, according to the input and output tables of China from 2000 to 2014, the energy consumption tables of various sectors, and the industrial sector classification of China's export trade to Japan, this paper reclassifies the industry sectors in each table to ensure a unified caliber. Based on the input-output model, the implied carbon emissions from China's export trade to Japan from 2000 to 2014 are calculated. The results show that the implied carbon emissions from China's export trade to Japan showed an overall upward trend during the period 2000-2014, and the pressure of implied carbon emissions was mainly concentrated in five sectors with high pollution, high energy consumption and low added value. The special equipment manufacturing industry is the textile industry, the oil processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing industries are 8) the chemical industry. Then according to the established structural decomposition analysis model, the total effect is decomposed into technical effect, structural effect and scale effect, and the influence and intensity of each effect on the total effect are explored. The results show that compared with the other two factors, the scale effect is the most powerful, and the increase of the scale effect will promote the increase of the implied carbon emission, while the structural effect is the least, and the effect of the whole is the role of promoting the implied carbon emission. The technological effect will inhibit the increase in implied carbon emissions. According to the main conclusions of this paper, some feasible policy suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X196;F752.62

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