安徽省生态足迹驱动力分析及管控对策研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 09:10

本文选题：生态足迹 + 驱动力　；参考：《安徽理工大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：本论文以安徽省域为研究对象,以安徽省生态足迹的驱动因素为主要研究内容,以生态足迹模型为理论指导基础,采用了文献分析法、生态指标分析法、相关分析法、主成分分析法、多元线性回归分析法等为研究手段进行研究。研究的主要内容包括:(1)生态足迹和驱动力相关理论。掌握了生态足迹模型的概念、计算、以及指标所表示的含义,功能以及生态足迹模型的优点和缺点和生态足迹驱动力的相关理论部分,以及驱动力的指标如何选取。(2)分析了安徽省生态足迹发展现状。运用了生态足迹模型、相关指标法、相关统计年鉴对安徽省生态足迹进行了分析。(3)分析了安徽省生态足迹历年动态演变。运用了生态足迹模型以及相关指标法和相关统计年鉴对安徽省2004-2014年生态足迹的动态演变在纵向进行了分析。(4)分析了安徽省生态足迹驱动因素。运用了 2004-2014年人均生态足迹动态演变的数据,并结合了相关分析法、主成分分析法、多元线性回归分析法分析了安徽省生态足迹驱动力影响因素。(5)安徽省生态足迹可持续发展管控对策。针对安徽省生态足迹发展现状和安徽省生态足迹驱动力影响因素并结合安徽省自身条件提出合理管控对策。通过研究,得到以下主要结论:①2014年安徽人均生态赤字0.6158Ha/cap,表明了安徽省生态呈现不可持续发展状态;②2004-2014年安徽人均生态足迹和人均生态赤字呈现出不断上升趋势;③安徽省生态人均足迹具有显著相关性的驱动力因素为城乡居民消费水平、第二产业比重、总人口、人口自然增长率、第一产业比重、非农业人口、国内生产总值以及能源消费总量等因素。为了改善和抑制安徽省生态不可持续发展的状态,提出管控对策如下:①构建合理的消费模式;②合理的划分产业结构;③加强人口管制;④减少能源消费;⑤调整能源结构等等。
[Abstract]:This paper takes Anhui Province as the research object, takes the driving factor of Anhui Province ecological footprint as the main research content, takes the ecological footprint model as the theoretical basis, adopts the literature analysis method, the ecological index analysis method, the correlation analysis method. Principal component Analysis (PCA) and multiple Linear regression Analysis (MLR) were used as research methods. The main contents are as follows: (1) the theory of ecological footprint and driving force. Grasp the concept of ecological footprint model, calculation, as well as the meaning of indicators, functions, the advantages and disadvantages of ecological footprint model and the relevant theoretical part of the driving force of ecological footprint. And how to select the index of driving force. (2) analyze the current situation of ecological footprint development in Anhui Province. The ecological footprint of Anhui Province was analyzed by using ecological footprint model, correlation index method and statistical yearbook. (3) the dynamic evolution of ecological footprint in Anhui Province over the years was analyzed. The dynamic evolution of ecological footprint in Anhui Province from 2004 to 2014 was analyzed longitudinally by using ecological footprint model and related index method and statistical yearbook. (4) the driving factors of ecological footprint in Anhui Province were analyzed. Multiple linear regression analysis of the impact factors of Anhui ecological footprint driving force. (5) Anhui Province ecological footprint sustainable development management and control measures. According to the present situation of Anhui Province's ecological footprint development and the influencing factors of Anhui's ecological footprint driving force, and combining with Anhui's own conditions, the reasonable management and control countermeasures are put forward. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the ecological deficit per capita of Anhui Province in 2014 was 0.6158 Ha/ cap. it indicated that the ecological deficit of Anhui Province showed an increasing trend from 2004 to 2014. (3) the driving factors of significant correlation of ecological per capita footprint in Anhui Province are the consumption level of urban and rural residents, the proportion of secondary industry, the total population, the natural growth rate of population, the proportion of primary industry, the non-agricultural population. Gross domestic product and total energy consumption and other factors. In order to improve and restrain the status of ecological unsustainable development in Anhui Province, the following countermeasures are put forward as follows: (1) to construct a reasonable consumption pattern and 2) to divide the industrial structure reasonably; (3) to strengthen population control and reduce energy consumption; Adjust the energy structure and so on.
【学位授予单位】：安徽理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X22;F127

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