面向碳排与固碳的中国碳熵动力系统研究

发布时间：2019-06-20 23:44

【摘要】：本文建立中国省域产业碳排与植被固碳的碳熵动力系统模型,基于耗散结构理论和混沌系统的同步原理,通过Brusselator判据B1+A2和稳定极限环,探索中国碳熵系统的动态稳定性。选取"十二五"期间2011~2014年的30×19个统计数据,在源数据归一化处理之后,运用正态概率分布的数据映射得到计算碳熵有效数据的方法。研究表明"十二五"期间,中国碳熵系统具有耗散结构特征,在中国碳排与固碳之间正发生自组织进程,使碳排和固碳的正、负熵系统呈现了具有达到远平衡态的突变潜力。中国碳熵动力系统的分析逻辑能够对国家产业政策与环境保护的效果进行评判,该系统还能揭示区域碳系统差异,对国家产业和环保政策规划具有一定的理论和实践借鉴价值。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the dynamic system model of carbon entropy between industrial carbon emission and vegetation carbon sequestration in China is established. Based on the theory of dissipative structure and the synchronization principle of chaotic system, the dynamic stability of carbon entropy system in China is explored by Brusselator criterion B1 A2 and stable limit cycle. 30 脳 19 statistical data from 2011 to 2014 during the 12th five-year Plan period are selected. After the normalization of the source data, the method of calculating the effective data of carbon entropy is obtained by using the data mapping of normal probability distribution. The results show that during the 12th five-year Plan period, the carbon entropy system in China has the characteristics of dissipative structure, and the self-organization process is taking place between the carbon emission and carbon sequestration in China, which makes the positive and negative entropy system of carbon emission and carbon sequestration have the potential to achieve far equilibrium. The analysis logic of China's carbon entropy dynamic system can judge the effect of national industrial policy and environmental protection. The system can also reveal the differences of regional carbon system, and has certain theoretical and practical reference value for national industrial and environmental policy planning.
【作者单位】：天津工业大学管理学院;
【基金】：天津市哲学社会科学基金(批准号:TJGL13-018)
【分类号】：X321

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