中国对马来西亚农产品出口波动成因分析——基于CMS模型的实证

发布时间：2018-01-10 12:02

本文关键词：中国对马来西亚农产品出口波动成因分析——基于CMS模型的实证　出处：《广东石油化工学院学报》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2000年以来,中国对马来西亚农产品出口的波动状况明显。通过CMS模型从产品结构、需求结构及竞争力三方面对波动根源进行实证研究,得出:整体农产品出口中,竞争力效应是中国农产品出口波动的主要原因,产品结构效应次之,需求结构效应不稳定;分类农产品出口中,0类(食物及活动物)出口波动的根源是产品竞争力效应,2类(非食用原材料)出口波动的主要因素是产品结构效应;1类(饮料及烟草)与4类(动植物油脂)的出口波动特征不明显。
[Abstract]:Since 2000, the fluctuation of China's agricultural exports to Malaysia has been obvious. Through the CMS model, this paper makes an empirical study on the root causes of volatility from three aspects: product structure, demand structure and competitiveness. It is concluded that the competitiveness effect is the main reason for the fluctuation of China's agricultural product export, the product structure effect is the second, and the demand structure effect is unstable. The main reason of the fluctuation of the export of category 0 (food and living animals) in classified agricultural products is the competitiveness effect of products and the main factor of the fluctuation of export of category 2 (non-edible raw materials) is the effect of product structure. The export fluctuation characteristics of 1 (beverage and tobacco) and 4 (animal and vegetable fats) were not obvious.
【作者单位】：广东外语外贸大学;
【基金】：广东外语外贸大学研究生科研创新项目(16GWCXXM-39)
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.62;F224
【正文快照】： 马来西亚是中国第七大农产品出口市场。2000年至今,中国对马来西亚的农产品贸易呈长期逆差态势,仅2015年出现了1.31亿美元顺差。21世纪“海上新丝路建设”为双方农产品贸易提供了新的机遇,马来西亚作为区域中心拥有良好的区位优势,成为中国开拓农产品市场的重要桥头堡。探究中

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