基于现货市场条件分析下的中国农产品期货市场发育研究——以中国生猪期货市场发育为例

发布时间：2018-01-12 09:41

本文关键词：基于现货市场条件分析下的中国农产品期货市场发育研究——以中国生猪期货市场发育为例　出处：《经济问题》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：成功发育的期货市场能有效发挥价格发现和规避风险的功能。基于中国生猪期货市场发育的两个现货市场条件——竞争程度和完善程度的理论和实证分析基础上,得出主要研究结论,一是中国生猪现货市场接近完全竞争,市场规模大,替代品种类少且替代弹性低,市场集中度低且逐步实现整合,市场价格长期和短期波动频繁,交易主体独立性高,总体上有利于生猪期货市场的成功发育;二是现货市场完善程度不高,物流和信息体系建设还不够健全,区域市场间整合程度有高有低,交易主体规模普遍偏小,是生猪期货市场功能发挥受限的主要因素。基于研究结论,提出应支持并鼓励生猪规模化养殖;鼓励并支持发展生猪养殖合作社和行业协会等中介组织;尽快完善生猪产业物流和信息体系建设。只有生猪期货市场与现货市场协调发展,生猪期货市场功能才能有效发挥。
[Abstract]:The successful development of futures market can effectively play the role of price discovery and risk avoidance. Based on the two spot market conditions of the development of Chinese live pig futures market-the degree of competition and perfect degree of theoretical and empirical analysis. . The main conclusions are as follows: first, the spot market of live pigs in China is close to complete competition, the market scale is large, the variety of substitutes is small and the elasticity of substitution is low, the market concentration is low and the integration is gradually realized. The market price fluctuates frequently in the long term and the short term, and the independence of the trading body is high, which is conducive to the successful development of the pig futures market. Second, the spot market is not perfect, logistics and information system construction is not perfect, the integration between regional markets is high and low, and the scale of the main trading body is generally small. It is the main factor that the function of pig futures market is restricted. Based on the conclusion of the research, it is suggested that the large-scale breeding of live pigs should be supported and encouraged. Encourage and support the development of intermediary organizations such as pig breeding cooperatives and trade associations; Improve the logistics and information system construction of pig industry as soon as possible. Only if the pig futures market and spot market develop harmoniously can the function of live pig futures market be brought into full play.
【作者单位】：山西省社会科学院经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“基于市场导向的畜牧业标准化运行机理与绩效研究”(71573257) 现代农业产业技术体系北京市生猪产业创新团队项目(BAIC02)
【分类号】：F323.7;F724.5
【正文快照】： 中国生猪现货价格的大幅度频繁剧烈波动,使得生猪产业链各环节的交易主体都有规避价格波动风险的需求,而成功发育的期货市场能有效发挥发现价格和规避风险的功能,这让社会各界普遍关注中国生猪期货市场发育问题。由于中国生猪期货市场成功发育需要生猪现货市场具备一定的条件,

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