中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易的影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-17 02:19

本文关键词：中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易的影响因素研究　出处：《华中农业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：长期以来,农产品一直被认为是完全竞争产品,因而产业内贸易的研究很少涉及农产品。但事实上,农产品也存在着生产上的产品差异化和规模报酬递增,且随着农业生产技术的不断进步以及农产品加工技术的日趋成熟,基于规模经济的农业生产以及农产品样式、品质等方面的差异化生产现象已非常普遍。因而从20世纪90年代至今,农产品产业内贸易日益受到学者的认可与关注。如今,中国的农业产业现状和国际贸易形势都迫切需要中国促进农产品产业内贸易的发展。而从自然条件、地理区位和政治环境三方面来看,东盟是中国开展农产品产业内贸易的优先选择。在此背景下,对中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易的影响因素进行研究有着重要的理论和实践意义。本文首先对产业内贸易的理论研究和与产业内贸易影响因素相关的实证研究进行梳理,然后概述了中国与东盟农产品贸易的发展现状,接着采用GL指数和AE法对中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易水平进行测度与细分,并对中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易的特征进行描述性分析,随后以细分的农产品产业为截面个体构建面板数据模型,分析了中国与东盟农产品总产业内贸易、水平型和垂直型产业内贸易的影响因素,最后归纳研究结论并提出相关的政策建议。研究结果表明,在所考察的影响因素中,两国人均收入水平、东盟国家贸易开放度、美国次贷危机和农产品关税税率差异对中国与东盟农产品总产业内贸易有显著的促进作用,两国人均收入差异、中国实际利用东盟国家外商直接投资和农产品贸易不平衡程度对双边农产品总产业内贸易有显著的抑制作用;美国次贷危机对中国与东盟农产品水平型产业内贸易有显著的促进作用,两国人均收入差异、两国平均市场规模和农产品贸易不平衡程度对双边农产品水平型产业内贸易有显著的抑制作用;东盟国家贸易开放度对中国与东盟农产品垂直型产业内贸易有显著的促进作用,中国实际利用东盟国家外商直接投资和农产品贸易不平衡程度对双边农产品垂直型产业内贸易有显著的抑制作用。基于上述结论,本文提出如下提高中国与东盟农产品产业内贸易水平的政策建议:一是缩小土地密集型农产品的贸易逆差,二是强化农产品的水平差异性特征,三是有选择性地深化与东盟国家的农产品贸易合作,四是加速农产品生产要素的流动,五是合理控制和引导外商直接投资。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the agricultural products has been considered to be perfectly competitive products, so the study of intra industry trade is rarely involved in agricultural products. But in fact, there are also differences in agricultural products in the production and increasing returns to scale, and with the continuous progress of agricultural technology and agricultural products processing technology matures, economies of scale agricultural production and agricultural products based on the difference of style, quality and other aspects of the production phenomenon has been very common. So since 1990s, agricultural trade is increasingly recognized and scholars. Nowadays, China's agricultural industry and the international trade situation is an urgent need to promote the development of agricultural products China intra industry trade. From the three aspects of natural conditions, geographical and political environment, ASEAN is the preferred choice of intra industry trade of agricultural product China. Under this background, and on Chinese Influence factors of agricultural products in ASEAN intra industry trade research has important theoretical and practical significance. Firstly, influence factors of empirical research on the theoretical research of intra industry trade and intra industry trade and related analysis, then summarizes the current development status of trade China and ASEAN agricultural products, and then uses the GL index and AE method the measurement and subdivision of industry trade level China and ASEAN agricultural products, and the characteristics of the industry Chinese and ASEAN agricultural products trade in the descriptive analysis, followed by the breakdown of the agricultural industry for individual construction section of panel data model, analyzes the total industrial and agricultural products Chinese ASEAN trade, influencing factors of horizontal and vertical intra industry trade, finally summarized research conclusion and puts forward relevant policy suggestions. The research results show that the factors affecting the level of per capita income between the two countries, The ASEAN countries trade openness, differences in the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis and the agricultural products tariff rate has a positive effect on the total industrial and agricultural products China ASEAN trade, bilateral differences in per capita income, Chinese the actual use of foreign direct investment and trade in ASEAN countries agricultural products imbalance had obvious inhibitory effect on the total trade of bilateral agricultural products industry in the United States; the subprime crisis has a positive effect on the level of agricultural products in ASEAN Chinese and intra industry trade, the per capita income difference, the average market size and the agricultural product trade imbalance degree has significant inhibitory effect on the level of bilateral agricultural products intra industry trade; a significant role in promoting trade liberalization of ASEAN countries the vertical industry trade with ASEAN agricultural products Chinese Chinese, the actual use of foreign direct investment in ASEAN countries trade agricultural products and the degree of imbalance of bilateral Agricultural products vertical intra industry trade has significant inhibitory effect. Based on the above conclusions, this paper puts forward to improve the level of industrial and agricultural products trade China ASEAN Policy Suggestions: one is to reduce the land intensive agricultural products trade deficit, two is the specific characteristics of reinforcement level of agricultural products, three is selectively deepening and agricultural products trade cooperation between ASEAN countries, the four is to accelerate the agricultural production factor flow, five is the reasonable control and guide foreign direct investment.

【学位授予单位】：华中农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.7

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