中国苹果的供给反应研究

发布时间：2018-02-21 05:02

本文关键词： 苹果供给反应 Nerlove模型价格　出处：《林业经济》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章根据1992~2014年中国7个苹果主产省的面板数据,应用Nerlove模型测算了苹果生产的供给反应。研究发现,苹果种植面积受到前一期价格影响,但短期供给弹性较小,长期供给弹性较大;果农种植决策受种植习惯影响较大;物质与服务费用及非农就业机会对种植面积有显著负影响;替代作物价格对苹果种植面积影响不显著。在此基础上,提出了稳定苹果种植面积的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 7 major apple production provinces in China from 1992 to 2014, the paper calculates the supply response of apple production by using Nerlove model. It is found that the apple planting area is affected by the price in the previous period, but the short-term supply elasticity is relatively small. The long-term supply elasticity is greater; the planting decision of fruit farmers is influenced by planting habits; the material and service costs and non-agricultural employment opportunities have a significant negative effect on the planting area; the price of alternative crops has no significant effect on the apple planting area. On this basis, the price of alternative crops has no significant effect on the planting area of apple. The countermeasures and suggestions for stabilizing the planting area of apple were put forward.
【作者单位】：青岛农业大学经济学院;
【基金】：青岛农业大学人文社科重点项目“山东苹果价格波动对苹果生产影响的研究”(编号:661/1115728);青岛农业大学高层次人才科研基金“山东苹果价格波动及生产影响因素研究”(编号:663/1115712) 山东省软科学项目“山东省苹果生产模式改革的影响因素研究”(编号:2013RKB01044)
【分类号】：F323.7

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