进口猪肉对我国国产猪肉的替代效应研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 23:37

本文选题：进口猪肉　切入点：国产猪肉　出处：《黑龙江畜牧兽医》2017年16期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为分析进口猪肉对国产猪肉的替代效应,剖析进口猪肉对我国猪肉产业发展的影响,笔者在初步判断进口猪肉与国产猪肉存在替代关系的基础上,通过建立回归模型,测度进口猪肉对国产猪肉的替代效应大小。结果表明:进口猪肉需求对国产猪肉的交叉价格弹性系数为3.685 1,进口猪肉对国产猪肉有着很强的替代效应,高居不下的国产猪肉价格是猪肉进口快速增长的直接原因;同时得出进口猪肉需求的收入弹性系数为负,国民收入水平提高不是猪肉进口增长过快的原因,产需缺口不断扩大才是我国进口不断增长的根本原因。因此,要通过降低生产成本来降低国产猪肉价格,平缓猪肉进口;通过扩大国内猪肉供给来抑制猪肉进口增长过快。
[Abstract]:In order to analyze the substitution effect of imported pork on domestic pork and the influence of imported pork on the development of pork industry in China, the author established a regression model on the basis of preliminarily judging the substitution relationship between imported pork and domestic pork. The results showed that the cross price elasticity coefficient of imported pork to domestic pork was 3.6851, and imported pork had strong substitution effect on domestic pork. The high domestic pork prices are the direct reason for the rapid growth of pork imports. At the same time, it is concluded that the income elasticity coefficient of imported pork demand is negative, and the increase in national income is not the reason for the excessive increase in pork imports. Therefore, it is necessary to reduce the price of domestic pork to reduce the price of domestic pork to ease the import of pork, and to restrain the increase of pork import too fast by expanding the supply of domestic pork.
【作者单位】：郑州成功财经学院;
【基金】：郑州成功财经学院项目(2016-PK-46)
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.61

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