我国农业对外贸易环境效应的实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-06 23:15

  本文选题：农业　切入点：对外贸易　出处：《江淮论坛》2017年04期

【摘要】：基于1998—2015年我国31个省市自治区农业贸易及污染的面板数据,建立农业环境污染、产出规模与农产品对外贸易额的联立方程模型,并利用3SLS方法对模型进行了估计,结果发现:农业产出规模、结构对农业环境均有显著的负面影响,农业贸易的发展会带来环境污染的增加;进出口额的增长可以拉动农业产出,但农业生产依然以环境污染为代价,而环境规制的加强会抑制农业贸易的发展;农业污染投入的增加带来的生产规模扩大,并不能对农业对外贸易带来直接的促进作用,而资本投入的增加会提高农业产出,但片面增加劳动力数量的投入并不能显著提升产出,应提高劳动者素质来促进农业经济的发展。要实现农业对外贸易与环境保护的可持续发展,必须转变农业对外贸易增长方式,调整农业贸易结构;加强环保信息和技术推广,加大人才培养力度,提高农业从业者整体素质;建立贸易与环保相协调的环境规制制度。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of agricultural trade and pollution in 31 provinces and autonomous regions of China from 1998 to 2015, a simultaneous equation model of agricultural environmental pollution, output scale and agricultural products foreign trade volume is established, and the model is estimated by using 3SLS method.The results show that the scale and structure of agricultural output have a significant negative impact on the agricultural environment, the development of agricultural trade will lead to the increase of environmental pollution, the increase of import and export can promote agricultural output.However, agricultural production is still at the cost of environmental pollution, and the strengthening of environmental regulation will restrain the development of agricultural trade, and the expansion of production scale brought about by the increase of agricultural pollution input will not directly promote agricultural foreign trade.The increase of capital input will improve the agricultural output, but the one-sided increase in the number of labor can not significantly improve the output, we should improve the quality of workers to promote the development of agricultural economy.In order to realize the sustainable development of agricultural foreign trade and environmental protection, we must change the growth mode of agricultural foreign trade, readjust the agricultural trade structure, strengthen the promotion of environmental protection information and technology, and intensify the training of personnel.Improve the overall quality of agricultural practitioners; establish a coordinated trade and environmental protection environmental regulation system.
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本文编号：1719346