中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 22:32

本文选题：中国新疆 + 哈萨克斯坦　；参考：《新疆大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球经济一体化的发展,我国与世界各国之间的经济贸易往来尤为频繁。新疆作为我国著名面积最大的农业大省,以我国乃至世界最大的商品棉花基地、我国甜菜糖重要生产基地之一,世界六大果品生产地之一,我国重要的畜牧业生产基地等名称而举世闻名,而且依托自身自然资源优势培育出了独具特色的许多品种的农产品。近年来,随着中国与哈萨克斯坦两国农业合作的日趋频繁,新疆作为中国与哈萨克斯坦最近的邻居在双方农产品贸易中起着至关重要的作用。中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦之间有着1738公里的共同边界线,哈萨克斯坦作为世界上面积最大的内陆国家地域辽阔,土地资源丰富,是典型的大陆气候,农业自然生产条件较为优越。哈萨克斯坦的农业以种植和畜牧业为主。新疆与哈萨克斯坦在农业领域存在明显的互补性和互利性,具备很好的农产品贸易合作潜力。本文主要由五个部分组成:第一部分,研究背景,研究意义及相关文献;第二部分分别分析了中国新疆,中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易规模和农产品贸易结构,通过双方显性比较优势指数,贸易互补性和产业内贸易指数的分析,阐述了双边开展对外农产品贸易的现实基础并指出了双方农产品贸易中存在的问题;第三部分从丝绸之路经济带的建设,哈萨克斯坦入世等对双方农产品贸易带来的机遇和挑战两方面进行了分析;第四部分运用Eviews7.2计量统计软件,选取了新疆和中亚国家2006-2015年的面板数据建立多元回归模型,最终发现中亚五国的GDP总量、运输距离、是否WTO成员国等解释变量都会极大影响到新疆与中亚国家的农产品贸易,从模型出的结果进一步进行新疆对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口贸易潜力预测;第五部分对中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦之间农产品贸易中存在的问题针对性地提出了对策建议。本文通过研究,认为中国新疆与哈萨克斯坦双边农产品贸易额快速增长,并且在农产品贸易上具有明显的互补性,双方农产品贸易的潜力巨大并有待提高。
[Abstract]:With the development of global economic integration, economic and trade exchanges between China and other countries are particularly frequent.Xinjiang is one of the largest agricultural provinces in China, with the largest commodity cotton base in China and even the world, one of the important production bases of sugar beet in China, and one of the six major fruit production places in the world.China's important animal husbandry production base and other names are world-famous, and rely on their own natural resource advantages to cultivate a unique variety of agricultural products.In recent years, with the increasing agricultural cooperation between China and Kazakhstan, Xinjiang, as the nearest neighbor of China and Kazakhstan, plays a vital role in the trade of agricultural products between China and Kazakhstan.There is a common boundary line of 1738 kilometers between Xinjiang and Kazakhstan. As the largest landlocked country in the world, Kazakhstan has a vast territory and rich land resources, which is a typical continental climate.Kazakhstan's agriculture is dominated by planting and animal husbandry.Xinjiang and Kazakhstan have obvious complementarities and mutual benefits in agriculture and have good potential for agricultural trade cooperation.This paper is mainly composed of five parts: the first part, the research background, the significance of the research and related documents; the second part analyzes the scale and structure of agricultural products trade in Xinjiang, China and Kazakhstan, respectively.Through the analysis of dominant comparative advantage index, trade complementarity and intra-industry trade index, this paper expounds the realistic basis of bilateral trade in agricultural products and points out the problems existing in the trade of agricultural products between the two sides.The third part analyzes the opportunities and challenges brought about by the construction of the Silk Road economic belt and Kazakhstan's entry into WTO.The panel data of Xinjiang and Central Asian countries from 2006 to 2015 are selected to establish a multivariate regression model. Finally, it is found that the total amount of GDP, transportation distance, WTO member countries and other explanatory variables of the five Central Asian countries will greatly affect the agricultural trade between Xinjiang and Central Asian countries.The results of the model further predict the potential of Xinjiang's agricultural export trade to Kazakhstan. The fifth part puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to the problems existing in agricultural trade between Xinjiang and Kazakhstan.Based on the research, this paper holds that the bilateral agricultural trade volume between Xinjiang and Kazakhstan is increasing rapidly and has obvious complementarities in agricultural trade, and the potential of agricultural trade between China and Kazakhstan is huge and needs to be improved.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.8;F323.7

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