影响我国大豆价格变动的因素分析

发布时间：2018-05-06 19:53

本文选题：大豆 + 计量经济学模型　；参考：《中国油脂》2017年06期

【摘要】：近些年我国大豆价格变动比较显著,并且呈现不规则性,其原因是国内外的环境越来越趋于复杂化,经济形势日益严峻,行业间的竞争逐渐激烈,并且大多数加工企业过分地依赖进口大豆,导致目前国内对国产大豆供过于求。运用计量经济学和统计学的原理对影响大豆价格变动的因素进行分析和检验,结果显示玉米油价格和大豆消费量对大豆价格有显著影响,与大豆价格呈正相关关系。研究结果可为相关政策部门判断大豆价格的变化趋势和制定相关的政策提供依据。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the price changes of soybean in China are obvious and irregular. The reason is that the environment at home and abroad is becoming more and more complicated, the economic situation is becoming more and more severe, and the competition among industries is becoming more and more fierce. And most of the processing enterprises rely excessively on imported soybeans, leading to the domestic supply of domestic soybean exceeds demand. Based on the principles of econometrics and statistics, the factors influencing the price change of soybean were analyzed and tested. The results showed that the price of corn oil and the consumption of soybean had significant influence on the price of soybean, and there was a positive correlation between the price of soybean and the price of soybean. The results can provide evidence for the relevant policy departments to judge the changing trend of soybean prices and to formulate relevant policies.
【作者单位】：哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院危机管理研究所;
【基金】：哈尔滨工程大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项(HEUCF150907) 哈尔滨工程大学2015级研究生培养基金
【分类号】：F323.7

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