最终需求间接能耗核算模型的改进研究——基于投入产出法的变形与转换

发布时间：2018-05-07 16:27

本文选题：最终需求间接能耗 + 投入产出法　；参考：《中国人口.资源与环境》2014年02期

【摘要】：为克服最终需求间接能耗初始核算模型存在的两点主要不足,笔者对其进行一次变形与二次转换,实现对最终需求间接能耗核算模型的改进,满足对最终需求间接能耗连续性估算的要求。结果表明在行业分类一致的前提下,最终需求间接能耗初始与改进核算模型的结果较为接近,平均相对误差低于5%,表明在无投入产出表年份,可以借助改进核算模型进行估算;核算模型要求行业分类尽可能精细,分类越宽泛,结果越粗糙,高估可能越大;再者由于最终需求项目数据可得性的难易程度不同,其间接能耗估算结果的精确性存在差异;最后改进核算模型的应用性可针对与行业密切相关的间接能耗污染排放与其他资源消耗以及其污染排放等进行拓展。
[Abstract]:In order to overcome the two main shortcomings of the initial calculation model of indirect energy consumption of final demand, the author carries on the primary deformation and the secondary transformation, realizes the improvement to the final demand indirect energy consumption accounting model. Meet the requirements of indirect energy consumption continuity estimation for final demand. The results show that the initial result of final demand indirect energy consumption is close to that of the improved accounting model, and the average relative error is less than 5, which indicates that in the year without input and output table, it can be estimated by the improved accounting model. Accounting model requires industry classification to be as fine as possible, the broader the classification, the rougher the result, the more overestimated it may be. Furthermore, the accuracy of indirect energy consumption estimation results is different because of the difficulty of the availability of final demand project data. Finally, the application of the improved accounting model can be extended to the indirect energy consumption, pollution emissions and other resource consumption, as well as its pollution emissions, which are closely related to the industry.
【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学统计与数学学院;安阳师范学院数学与统计学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“我国绿色经济发展评价研究”(编号:11BTJ020)
【分类号】：F222.3;F205

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