农村劳动力转移的农产品产量和价格效应
发布时间：2018-08-18 20:14
【摘要】：在胡景北(2008)理论模型基础上,通过区分绝对和相对剩余劳动力,构建了城镇化、农村劳动力转移和农产品价格关系的数理分析框架,证明了给定农业生产技术及农产品需求刚性,绝对剩余劳动力向城镇的转移并不会影响农产品产量和价格,而当农村只剩相对剩余劳动力时,则务农人口继续向城镇转移将减少农产品供给并导致农产品价格上涨。以总农产品、劳动密集型农产品对上述关系进行的经验检验验证了以上结论。
[Abstract]:On the basis of Hu Jingbei (2008) theory model, by distinguishing absolute and relative surplus labor force, this paper constructs a mathematical analysis framework of urbanization, rural labor force transfer and agricultural product price relationship. It is proved that given the rigidity of agricultural production technology and demand for agricultural products, the transfer of absolute surplus labor to cities and towns will not affect the output and price of agricultural products, but when there is only relative surplus labor in rural areas, The continued migration of farm workers to towns will reduce the supply of agricultural products and lead to higher agricultural prices. The above conclusions are verified by the empirical test on the relationship between total agricultural products and labor-intensive agricultural products.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院;北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;中国核科技信息与经济研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(13BJL023)
【分类号】：F322;F323.6;F323.7
[Abstract]:On the basis of Hu Jingbei (2008) theory model, by distinguishing absolute and relative surplus labor force, this paper constructs a mathematical analysis framework of urbanization, rural labor force transfer and agricultural product price relationship. It is proved that given the rigidity of agricultural production technology and demand for agricultural products, the transfer of absolute surplus labor to cities and towns will not affect the output and price of agricultural products, but when there is only relative surplus labor in rural areas, The continued migration of farm workers to towns will reduce the supply of agricultural products and lead to higher agricultural prices. The above conclusions are verified by the empirical test on the relationship between total agricultural products and labor-intensive agricultural products.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院;北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;中国核科技信息与经济研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(13BJL023)
【分类号】：F322;F323.6;F323.7
【参考文献】
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