河南省产业结构调整对可持续发展的效应分析
发布时间：2018-10-05 09:02
【摘要】：改革开放以来中国经济经历了高速增长阶段,但是“高投入、高消耗、高排放、不协调、难循环、低效率”的增长方式与“可持续发展观”和“和谐社会”的理念相违背。为此,中央提出以可持续发展为导向,通过对产业结构实施战略性调整来转变经济发展方式。河南作为全国人口第一大省,所面临的土地、资源、生态、环境等各方面的压力均大于全国平均水平,如何通过产业结构调整,实现经济、社会、能源和环境系统的可持续发展,是我省面临的现实而紧迫的任务。研究河南省产业结构调整对可持续发展的影响,对于指导河南省如何进行产业结构调整具有重要的理论和现实意义。 可持续发展是一个比较抽象的概念,一般包括经济系统的可持续发展、社会系统的可持续发展、能源系统的可持续发展和环境系统的可持续发展,通常选取经济增长、人口就业、节能降耗、环境保护作为衡量经济、社会、能源和环境四个子系统是否可持续发展的重要指标。因此,产业结构调整对这四个指标的影响可以近似的被认为是对可持续发展的影响。基于对上述问题的认识,本文以Moore结构变化值为基础,分别构建产业结构调整对经济增长、人口就业、节能降耗、环境保护的贡献度模型,并在1986—2010年河南省相关数据的基础上,测算出河南省产业结构调整对经济增长、人口就业、节能降耗和环境保护的贡献度。模型的分析结果表明,河南省产业结构调整对经济增长的贡献比较大；对人口就业和节能降耗有一定的贡献,但是贡献不太大；对减少废气排放量的贡献不稳定,对减少废水排放量的贡献逐年降低,对减少废渣排放量的贡献越来越低。根据以上的结论,河南省产业结构的调整应遵循“需求导向、立足省情、持续协调”的原则,巩固农业的基础地位,调整农业的内部结构,推动农业向现代化、生态化发展；优化工业结构,在改造传统产业的同时大力发展高新技术产业,同时对高能耗和高污染行业进行合理的监管和引导；积极发展第三产业,通过现代的经营方式提升传统服务业,推动金融、法律、管理咨询等现代服务业的发展,培育旅游、动漫等有本省特色的战略性支撑产业。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has experienced a period of rapid growth, but the growth mode of "high input, high consumption, high emission, uncoordinated, difficult to recycle and low efficiency" is contrary to the concept of "sustainable development view" and "harmonious society". Therefore, the central government proposes to change the mode of economic development through the strategic adjustment of industrial structure guided by sustainable development. Henan, as the largest province with population in China, faces more pressure from land, resources, ecology and environment than the national average. How to realize the economy and society through the adjustment of industrial structure? The sustainable development of energy and environment system is a realistic and urgent task facing our province. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influence of industrial structure adjustment on sustainable development in Henan Province, which is of great theoretical and practical significance to guide the industrial structure adjustment in Henan Province. Sustainable development is a relatively abstract concept, which generally includes the sustainable development of economic system, the sustainable development of social system, the sustainable development of energy system and the sustainable development of environmental system. Population employment, energy saving and consumption reduction, environmental protection is an important index to measure the sustainable development of the four subsystems of economy, society, energy and environment. Therefore, the impact of industrial structure adjustment on these four indicators can be considered as the impact on sustainable development. Based on the understanding of the above problems, this paper builds the contribution model of industrial structure adjustment to economic growth, population employment, energy saving and environmental protection, based on the change value of Moore structure. Based on the relevant data of Henan Province from 1986 to 2010, the contribution of industrial structure adjustment to economic growth, population employment, energy saving and environmental protection was calculated. The results of the model analysis show that the industrial structure adjustment in Henan province contributes a lot to the economic growth, to the employment of the population, to energy conservation and consumption, but not to a great extent, and to the unstable contribution to the reduction of exhaust gas emissions. The contribution to reducing the discharge of waste water is decreasing year by year, and the contribution to reducing the discharge of waste residue is becoming lower and lower. According to the above conclusions, the adjustment of Henan's industrial structure should follow the principle of "demand-oriented, based on provincial conditions, sustainable coordination", consolidate the basic position of agriculture, adjust the internal structure of agriculture, and promote the modernization and ecological development of agriculture; Optimize the industrial structure, vigorously develop high and new technology industries while transforming traditional industries, and carry out reasonable supervision and guidance over high energy consumption and high pollution industries; actively develop the tertiary industry and upgrade the traditional service industry through modern management. Promote the development of modern services, such as finance, law, management consulting, cultivate tourism, animation and other provincial characteristics of strategic support industries.
【学位授予单位】：郑州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F121.3;F224
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has experienced a period of rapid growth, but the growth mode of "high input, high consumption, high emission, uncoordinated, difficult to recycle and low efficiency" is contrary to the concept of "sustainable development view" and "harmonious society". Therefore, the central government proposes to change the mode of economic development through the strategic adjustment of industrial structure guided by sustainable development. Henan, as the largest province with population in China, faces more pressure from land, resources, ecology and environment than the national average. How to realize the economy and society through the adjustment of industrial structure? The sustainable development of energy and environment system is a realistic and urgent task facing our province. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influence of industrial structure adjustment on sustainable development in Henan Province, which is of great theoretical and practical significance to guide the industrial structure adjustment in Henan Province. Sustainable development is a relatively abstract concept, which generally includes the sustainable development of economic system, the sustainable development of social system, the sustainable development of energy system and the sustainable development of environmental system. Population employment, energy saving and consumption reduction, environmental protection is an important index to measure the sustainable development of the four subsystems of economy, society, energy and environment. Therefore, the impact of industrial structure adjustment on these four indicators can be considered as the impact on sustainable development. Based on the understanding of the above problems, this paper builds the contribution model of industrial structure adjustment to economic growth, population employment, energy saving and environmental protection, based on the change value of Moore structure. Based on the relevant data of Henan Province from 1986 to 2010, the contribution of industrial structure adjustment to economic growth, population employment, energy saving and environmental protection was calculated. The results of the model analysis show that the industrial structure adjustment in Henan province contributes a lot to the economic growth, to the employment of the population, to energy conservation and consumption, but not to a great extent, and to the unstable contribution to the reduction of exhaust gas emissions. The contribution to reducing the discharge of waste water is decreasing year by year, and the contribution to reducing the discharge of waste residue is becoming lower and lower. According to the above conclusions, the adjustment of Henan's industrial structure should follow the principle of "demand-oriented, based on provincial conditions, sustainable coordination", consolidate the basic position of agriculture, adjust the internal structure of agriculture, and promote the modernization and ecological development of agriculture; Optimize the industrial structure, vigorously develop high and new technology industries while transforming traditional industries, and carry out reasonable supervision and guidance over high energy consumption and high pollution industries; actively develop the tertiary industry and upgrade the traditional service industry through modern management. Promote the development of modern services, such as finance, law, management consulting, cultivate tourism, animation and other provincial characteristics of strategic support industries.
【学位授予单位】：郑州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F121.3;F224
【参考文献】
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1 范德成,王Y，
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