江苏省2011-2016年肾综合征出血热流行特征及时空聚类分析

发布时间：2018-03-31 07:37

本文选题：肾综合征出血热　切入点：人口统计学　出处：《中华疾病控制杂志》2017年10期

【摘要】：目的探讨2011-2016年江苏省肾综合征出血热流行特征。方法对国家疾病监测信息报告管理系统中2011-2016年江苏省肾综合征出血热疫情资料进行描述性流行病学以及时空重排扫描统计方法分析。结果2011-2016年江苏省累计报告肾综合征出血热1 733例。年均发病率为0.36/10万,男女性别比为1∶0.30;40~岁和50~岁年龄组发病较多;职业分布以农民为主(78.71%),家务及待业构成比逐年上升(χ~2趋势=4.446,P=0.035);全年疫情呈现双峰分布,最高峰出现在每年的10月至翌年1月,次高峰出现在每年的4~6月。时空扫描发现在区县尺度上有时空聚集性,根据总病例分布探测到5个时空聚类区域。结论 21世纪以来,江苏省肾综合征出血热疫情时有抬头,全省各地区地区流行强度不同,发病存在时空聚集性,在高发地区应持续做好控制工作,预防出现聚集性疫情。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the epidemic characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2016. Methods the epidemic data of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) from 2011 to 2016 in Jiangsu Province were studied by descriptive epidemiology and temporal and spatial rearrangement in the National Disease Surveillance Information report Management system. Results 1733 cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome were reported in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2016. The average annual incidence rate was 0.36 / 100, 000. The male / female sex ratio was 1: 0.30, 40 ~ and 50 ~ years old, the occupational distribution was mainly farmer 78.71, and the ratio of household and unemployed composition was increasing year by year (蠂 ~ 2 trend: 4.446P ~ (0. 035)). The epidemic situation in the whole year showed a double peak distribution, and the peak appeared from October to January of each year. The second peak occurred from April to June of each year. Spatio-temporal scanning showed that there was spatio-temporal aggregation at the district and county scale, and five spatio-temporal clustering regions were detected according to the total case distribution. Conclusion since the 21st century, the epidemic situation of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Jiangsu Province has been on the rise. The epidemic intensity is different in different regions of the province, and there is spatio-temporal aggregation of the disease. In the high incidence area, we should continue to do a good job to control the disease and prevent the occurrence of the aggregated epidemic situation.
【作者单位】：江苏省疾病预防控制中心急性传染病防制所;南京医科大学第一附属医院感染科;南京军区军事医学研究所流行病学室;
【分类号】：R181.3;R512.8

【相似文献】