犬猫伤人次数与气象要素关系初步研究

发布时间：2018-06-27 21:45

本文选题：犬 + 猫　；参考：《环境与健康杂志》2014年01期

【摘要】：目的通过分析犬、猫伤人事件的时间分布特点及与各气象要素的关系,为居民饲养宠物及防范自身安全提供参考。方法收集北京市某医院2008—2011年犬伤人(咬伤/抓伤)61 883例及2008—2009年猫伤人(咬伤/抓伤)1 878例的急诊就诊资料,与同期气象资料进行相关分析,并用逐步回归法建立犬、猫日伤人次数的预报方程。结果犬伤人次数的年分布曲线为单峰型,夏季最高,占总就诊人数的32.3%;春、秋季次之,分别占23.7%和25.5%;冬季最低,占18.6%。猫伤人事件在夏、秋季均处于高发期,分别占32.8%和30.2%;冬、春季为低发期,合计占37.0%。犬伤人次数与日平均气温、日最高气温、日最低气温、相对湿度、降水量均呈正相关(r值分别为0.70,0.68,0.70,0.37,0.18,均P=0.000);与日平均气压、日最高气压、日最低气压、风速均呈负相关(r值分别为-0.59,-0.62,-0.57,-0.12,均P=0.000)。猫伤人次数与日平均气温、日最高气温、日最低气温、相对湿度、日照时数均呈正相关(r值分别为0.303,0.296,0.318,0.237,0.097,均P=0.000);与日平均气压、日最高气压、日最低气压、风速均呈负相关(r值分别为-0.260,-0.268,-0.249,-0.084,均P=0.000)。结论犬、猫伤人次数可能与气象要素有关,应加强防范。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the temporal distribution characteristics of dog and cat injury events and their relationship with meteorological factors in order to provide reference for residents to keep pets and guard against their own safety. Methods data of 61 883 dogs (bite / scratch) and 1 878 cat injuries (bite / scratch) from 2008 to 2011 in a hospital in Beijing were collected. The data were correlated with meteorological data of the same period, and the dogs were established by stepwise regression method. A prediction equation for the number of injuries in a cat's day. Results the annual distribution curve of dog injury times was single peak type, the highest in summer, accounting for 32.3% of the total number of patients, followed by spring and autumn, accounting for 23.7% and 25.5% respectively, and the lowest in winter, accounting for 18.6%. Cat injury events occurred in summer and autumn, accounting for 32.8% and 30.2%, respectively, and low incidence in winter and spring, accounting for 37.0% of the total. The number of dog injuries was positively correlated with the daily mean air temperature, daily maximum temperature, daily minimum temperature, relative humidity and precipitation (r = 0.70 / 0.68 / 0.70 / 0.37 / 0.18, respectively), and was positively correlated with the daily mean daily air pressure, the highest daily air pressure and the lowest daily air pressure, respectively. The wind speed was negatively correlated (r = -0.59 ~ 0.62 ~ -0.57 ~ 0.12, P ~ (0.000). The number of cat injuries was positively correlated with daily mean air temperature, daily maximum temperature, daily minimum temperature, relative humidity, sunshine hours (r = 0.303 0. 296U 0.3186U 0.237U 0.097, P = 0.000), and with daily mean pressure, daily maximum pressure, daily lowest pressure, The wind speed was negatively correlated (r = -0.260g -0.268g -0.249m -0.084, P = 0.000). Conclusion the number of injuries in dogs and cats may be related to meteorological factors.
【作者单位】：兰州大学大气科学学院兰州大学气象环境与人体健康研究中心;中国人民解放军总医院(301医院);
【基金】：国家公益性行业(气象)专项(GYHY201106034) 国家科技支撑计划(2012BAJ18B08) 国家人口与健康科学数据共享平台“气象环境与健康”专题服务建设项目
【分类号】：R181.3

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