流动人口失业特征、分布及影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-11-09 15:18

【摘要】：当前流动人口中有不愿返乡,而在城市寻求工作的失业群体。基于"2014年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查"数据,失业流动人口特征突出表现为相对年轻、学历偏低,外出具有盲目性,生活容易陷入困境,其中农业户籍失业流动人口更为明显。在失业分布上,流动人口失业率低于城镇居民,男性低于女性,已婚低于单身,15-24年龄段失业严重,农业户籍流动人口高于非农户籍,而且还有知识失业和高龄失业风险。从失业的成因来看,非农户籍流动人口失业概率要高,家庭化迁移提高了流动人口失业概率,文化程度对降低流动人口失业概率作用偏低,流入地区市场化程度或人口规模降低了流动人口失业概率,但市场化程度对农业户籍流动人口的作用要高于非农户籍流动人口。据此提出了降低流动人口失业概率的建议。
[Abstract]:The current migrant population is reluctant to return to their homes, but is seeking jobs in the cities. Based on the data of the National Health and Family Planning dynamic Surveillance Survey of the floating population in 2014, the characteristics of the unemployed floating population are relatively young, low educational background, blindness in going out, and easy to get into difficulties in life. Among them agricultural household register unemployed floating population is more obvious. In the distribution of unemployment, the unemployment rate of floating population is lower than that of urban residents, that of male is lower than that of female, that of married is lower than that of single, the unemployment of 15-24 age group is serious, the floating population of agricultural household registration is higher than that of non-agricultural household registration, and there are also risks of knowledge unemployment and old age unemployment From the causes of unemployment, the unemployment probability of non-agricultural floating population is higher, the family migration increases the unemployment probability of floating population, and the education level has little effect on reducing the probability of floating population unemployment. The degree of marketization or the size of the population in the inflow region reduced the probability of unemployment of the floating population, but the effect of the degree of marketization on the floating population of agricultural household registration was higher than that of the floating population of non-agricultural household register. Based on this, some suggestions are put forward to reduce the probability of floating population unemployment.
【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目《基于可持续生计的长期保障与农民工市民化研究》(批准号:71540031) 教育部人文社科基金项目《经济转型期农民工职业垂直流动与市民化研究》(批准号:15YJC790088)的资助
【分类号】：D631.42;C913.2

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