司法认知偏差与量化裁判中的锚定效应

发布时间：2018-04-24 05:25

本文选题：司法认知偏差 + 量化裁判　；参考：《中国法学》2017年06期

【摘要】：锚定效应是司法认知偏差的一种重要表现形式,受此影响法官会在量化决策时给予初始信息过多的重视,将某些随机的锚位值作为估测的起始值,导致裁判结果很不稳定,严重损害司法形象。利用广东省2015年四种代表性损害赔偿案件的统计数据,对司法情境因素、精神损害赔偿和裁判锚定效应的关系进行了实证检验。研究发现,锚定效应的确是中国民事司法实践中一种非常普遍的现象,当前裁判锚定效应的发生呈现出内外有别的总体格局,影响显著的外生锚点和作用微弱的内生锚点形成强烈反差,反映出当代中国法官的尴尬处境。法官群体对外界压力和风险的系统性回应是诱发裁判锚定效应的关键因素。未来的司法体制建设应将有限的资源投入到对外生锚点的控制上,并建立有效的法官决策信息供给机制。
[Abstract]:Anchoring effect is an important form of judicial cognitive bias. The judge will pay too much attention to the initial information in the quantitative decision, and take some random anchor value as the starting value of the estimation, which leads to the instability of the judgment result. Serious damage to the image of the judiciary. Based on the statistical data of four kinds of representative damages cases in Guangdong Province in 2015, this paper makes an empirical test on the relationship among the factors of judicial situation, mental damage compensation and the effect of referee anchoring. It is found that the anchoring effect is indeed a very common phenomenon in the civil judicial practice in China. The strong contrast between the external anchor and the weak endogenous anchor reflects the awkward situation of contemporary Chinese judges. The systematic response of judges to external pressure and risk is the key factor to induce the anchoring effect. In the future, the construction of judicial system should devote limited resources to the control of external anchor points and establish an effective information supply mechanism for judges' decision making.
【作者单位】：中山大学法学院;
【基金】：中国法学会部级法学研究课题“损害赔偿诉讼中的司法认知与策略行为研究”(项目批准号:CLS[2016]D03)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：D926.2

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