酒吧地理分布与寻衅滋事行为关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 07:10

本文选题：寻衅滋事 + 犯罪地图　；参考：《中国人民公安大学学报(社会科学版)》2015年03期

【摘要】：犯罪现象在地理时空内并不是均匀分布的,而是表现出明显的时空聚集特性,犯罪的发生与空间环境、地理因素之间紧密相关。对2013年杭州市西湖区107起寻衅滋事案件犯罪地图的研究发现,寻衅滋事行为在时空分布上呈现明显的聚集特性,距离酒吧越近,寻衅滋事行为发生的概率越高,且发案数与发案地点距离酒吧远近呈负相关。实证研究表明,绘制寻衅滋事的犯罪地图,有助于确定酒吧地理分布与寻衅滋事行为之间的内在关系,提高制定该类犯罪控制政策的科学化水平。在制定警务政策和分配警务资源时,警方应以寻衅滋事行为发生的时空分布规律为依据,在对犯罪热点进行监控、分析的基础上,有针对性地改变寻衅滋事发生的空间环境,达到预防和阻止犯罪发生的目的。另一方面,警方应重点提高酒吧周边地区尤其是酒吧聚集区治安综合防控水平,加快智能化警局建设,提高治理寻衅滋事犯罪的科学性和有效性。
[Abstract]:The phenomenon of crime is not uniformly distributed in geographical space and time, but shows obvious characteristics of space-time aggregation. The occurrence of crime is closely related to the spatial environment and geographical factors.The study on the map of 107 cases of provocation and disturbance in Xihu District of Hangzhou City in 2013 found that the spatial and temporal distribution of provocative and troublesome behaviors showed obvious aggregation characteristics, and the closer to the bar, the higher the probability of provoking and causing trouble.And the number of cases was negatively correlated with the distance between the location of the crime and the bar.The empirical study shows that drawing a map of the crime of provoking trouble can help to determine the inherent relationship between the geographical distribution of bars and the behavior of provoking trouble and to improve the scientific level of making such a crime control policy.In formulating police policies and allocating police resources, the police should, on the basis of the temporal and spatial distribution law of the occurrence of provocative and troublesome acts, monitor and analyze the crime hotspots, and change the space environment where the provocative and troublesome activities occur in a targeted way.To prevent and prevent the occurrence of crime.On the other hand, the police should focus on improving the level of comprehensive prevention and control of public order in the surrounding areas of bars, especially in the concentrated areas of bars, speeding up the construction of intelligent police stations, and improving the scientific nature and effectiveness of dealing with provocative and troublesome crimes.
【作者单位】：浙江警察学院;绍兴市公安局;
【分类号】：D924.3

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