死刑存废的民意维度——以组织卖淫罪可罚性观念的测量为中心

发布时间：2018-07-20 17:14

【摘要】：概率样本数据显示,组织卖淫罪适用死刑的民意支持率极低,这与公共空间所呈现的舆论态势存在较大反差;围绕本罪死刑存废的拉锯过程对进一步推进死刑改革具有重要启示。由政治领袖推动的"突然死亡"式死刑废除模式在我国不具有可行性,而依靠精英话语引导民众支持死刑废除的思路则面临"精英观念缺位"的尴尬。以个罪死刑的民意支持度为依据,逐步废除罪刑失衡的个罪的死刑,是我国死刑改革的必由之路。在这一过程中,要特别防止"沉默的螺旋"等传播现象所导致的"错位民意"对立法与司法的不当影响。以官方人口统计信息为参照获取概率样本,采用匿名电脑调查法和"讲故事法"测量相对敏感的"外指观念",是进行民意测量时可行且有效的方法。
[Abstract]:Probabilistic sample data show that the public opinion support for the application of the death penalty for organized prostitution is extremely low, which is in contrast to the public opinion situation in public space. The process of sawing around the death penalty in this crime has important enlightenment to further promote the reform of death penalty. The "sudden death" mode of abolition of the death penalty promoted by political leaders is not feasible in China, while the idea of relying on elite words to guide the masses to support the abolition of the death penalty is facing the embarrassment of "absence of elite concept". It is the only way to reform the death penalty in our country, based on the degree of public support for the individual crime and death penalty, and gradually abolish the death penalty for the individual crime which is out of balance between the crime and the punishment. In this process, it is necessary to prevent the improper influence of misalignment of public opinion on legislation and judicature caused by the phenomenon of "spiral of silence". Taking official demographic information as a reference to obtain probability samples and using anonymous computer survey and storytelling method to measure the relatively sensitive concept of extrapolation is a feasible and effective method for public opinion survey.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学刑事法律科学研究院;
【分类号】：D924.1

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