中国可再生能源消费、对外贸易和碳排放的关系

发布时间：2017-12-27 23:00

本文关键词：中国可再生能源消费、对外贸易和碳排放的关系　出处：《软科学》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：利用1980~2012年的样本数据,使用自回归滞后模型研究了我国碳排放与经济增长、可再生能源消费、非再生能源消费、对外贸易各影响因素间的长期均衡和短期动态关系,并重点对比分析了可再生能源消费对EKC模型的影响。实证结果表明:各变量间存在长期均衡关系。不考虑可再生能源消费影响的情况下我国并不存在二氧化碳排放的EKC曲线,对外贸易和碳排放之间为正相关关系。而加入可再生能源消费之后则发现经济增长和碳排放支持倒U型的EKC曲线,且对外贸易和碳排放之间为负相关关系。此外,可再生能源消费在长期和短期中对碳排放有负向影响作用,其中长期系数比较明显,短期系数并不显著。
[Abstract]:Using the sample data of 1980~2012, the use of carbon emissions and economic growth, China's renewable energy consumption, non renewable long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship of the influence factors of energy consumption and foreign trade between the lagged autoregressive model, and has mainly analyzed the influence of renewable energy consumption on the EKC model. The empirical results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the variables. Without considering the effects of renewable energy consumption, there is no EKC curve of carbon dioxide emissions in China, and the relationship between foreign trade and carbon emissions is positive. After adding renewable energy consumption, it is found that economic growth and carbon emissions support the inverted U EKC curve, and the relationship between foreign trade and carbon emissions is negative. In addition, the consumption of renewable energy has a negative impact on carbon emissions in the long term and in the short term, in which the long-term coefficient is obvious, and the short-term coefficient is not significant.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室;浙江财经大学经济学院;河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71203219) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(16YJAZH015) 全国统计科研计划重点项目(2016LZ13)
【分类号】：F426.2;F752;X24
【正文快照】： 当前,由CO2等温室气体导致的全球气候变暖正给各地区经济社会发展带来越来越显著的影响[1,2]。为让人类免受气候变暖带来的威胁,20世纪初全球大多数国家和地区均签订了《京都议定书》,给主要发达国家或地区制定了相应的减排目标。而随着2008年中国的碳排放总量超过美国成为世

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