低碳经济与河北省工业结构调整研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 02:23

本文关键词：低碳经济与河北省工业结构调整研究　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着河北省经济快速发展,第二产业对经济的贡献率不断增加。近十年,第二产业经济比重均超过了50%,为区域国民经济的发展做出了重大贡献。但是第二产业的快速发展也带来能源消耗量的迅速攀升,河北省能源消耗总量从1990年的6124万吨标准煤增长到2015年的28813万吨标准煤,河北省能源消费量在全国31个省市区中排名第二,河北省在全国人均GDP只排在第20位,能源消耗总量却占全国的7.2%,能源消耗强度为0.97吨标准煤/万元,在全国中排名第八位。可见,河北省并没有摆脱粗放式的经济增长方式,高能耗的产业格局也没有得到根本改变。在环境问题日益严峻的今天,必须通过二次产业结构的优化调整来促进低碳排放,促进低碳经济发展。本文在低碳经济与工业产业结构调整相互影响机制的理论基础上,通过选取河北省1991-2014年工业整体数据,以及2009-2014年河北省分地区数据,分别利用时间序列模型和面板数据模型对河北省工业结构调整对碳排放的影响进行分析。实证得出:(1)河北省工业产值规模逐年上升,重工业比重显著高于轻工业。工业能源消费结构变化不大,煤炭仍然是河北省工业第一大消费能源。尽管能源消费强度逐年下降,能源使用效率逐年升高,工业研发投入强度和三项专利发明数量也逐年增加,意味着河北省工业技术有着较为明显的进步,但河北省工业碳排放量却逐年递增。总体来看,河北省虽已开始步入工业转型阶段,但效果还不显著。(2)计量模型显示,影响河北省工业碳排放的主要因素为工业总规模、产业结构、能源消费强度和工业技术进步。工业总规模对工业碳排放有正向影响,能源使用效率和技术进步对工业碳排放有负向影响,重工业比重、对外开放度也对碳排放有着正向影响。基于实证研究结果,本文提出了政府应加强宏观政策调控,加快第二产业内部结构的优化调整,加大研发投入,推动技术进步,不断提高能源的使用效率,大力发展新能源、清洁能源,对六大高能耗产业进行并购重组等相关建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid economic development of Hebei Province, the contribution rate of the secondary industry to the economy is increasing. In the last ten years, the economic proportion of the secondary industry has exceeded 50%. It has made a great contribution to the development of regional national economy, but the rapid development of the secondary industry has also brought about a rapid rise in energy consumption. The total energy consumption of Hebei Province increased from 61.24 million tons of standard coal in 1990 to 288.13 million tons of standard coal in 2015. Hebei's energy consumption ranks second among the 31 provinces and municipalities in China. Hebei Province ranked 20th in per capita GDP in the country, but the total energy consumption accounted for 7.2 percent of the country, energy consumption intensity of 0.97 tons of standard coal / 10,000 yuan, ranked 8th in the country. Hebei Province has not got rid of the extensive economic growth mode, the industrial pattern of high energy consumption has not been fundamentally changed. We must promote low carbon emissions and promote the development of low carbon economy through the optimization and adjustment of secondary industrial structure. This paper is based on the theory of the interaction mechanism between low carbon economy and industrial structure adjustment. Through the selection of Hebei Province 1991-2014 industrial data, as well as 2009-2014 in Hebei Province sub-region data. Time series model and panel data model are used to analyze the impact of industrial structure adjustment on carbon emissions in Hebei Province. The empirical results show that the scale of industrial output value in Hebei Province is increasing year by year. The proportion of heavy industry is significantly higher than that of light industry. The structure of industrial energy consumption has not changed much, and coal is still the largest energy consumption in Hebei Province. Although the intensity of energy consumption has decreased year by year, the efficiency of energy use has increased year by year. Industrial R & D investment intensity and the number of three patent inventions are also increasing year by year, which means the industrial technology of Hebei Province has a more obvious progress, but the industrial carbon emissions of Hebei Province are increasing year by year. Although Hebei Province has begun to step into the stage of industrial transformation, the effect is not significant. The econometric model shows that the main factors affecting industrial carbon emissions in Hebei Province are the total industrial scale and industrial structure. Energy consumption intensity and industrial technological progress. Total industrial scale has a positive impact on industrial carbon emissions, energy efficiency and technological progress have a negative impact on industrial carbon emissions, heavy industry proportion. The degree of opening to the outside world also has a positive impact on carbon emissions. Based on the results of empirical research, this paper proposes that the government should strengthen macroeconomic policy control, accelerate the internal structure of the secondary industry optimization adjustment, increase R & D investment. To promote technological progress, improve the efficiency of energy use, vigorously develop new energy, clean energy, merger and reorganization of six major high-energy industries and other related recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F124.5;F427

【相似文献】