中国新疆与中亚能源合作研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 20:31

本文关键词：中国新疆与中亚能源合作研究　出处：《新疆大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：能源是世界各国经济发展的命脉。当前,中国是世界上最大的能源消费国,能源需求在不断地上升。2015年我国原油对外依存度为59.60%。国际能源署估计,到2025年我国原油对外依存度或将达到82%。中国的原油进口地区和路线都存在不稳定因素,原油进口地主要集中在政治不稳定的中东和非洲,进口路线主要通过印度洋至马六甲海峡海路。与中国新疆毗邻的中亚国家拥有丰富的石油、天然气资源,与中亚国家进行能源合作近期有利于缓解对中东海路运输能源的过度依赖,远期有利于把能源管道建设发展到中东地区。因此新疆在中国与中亚能源合作中的战略性地位日益突出。本文在梳理、总结国内外关于中国新疆与中亚能源发展及能源合作方面研究成果的基础上,结合双方能源合作实际情况,对当前新疆在中国与中亚能源合作中的地位、中国新疆与中亚能源合作现状、面临的问题进行了分析和评价,本文对1999-2014年新疆能源进口总量与中国国内生产总值之间的关系进行了协整检验。结果显示,新疆能源进口总量与中国国内生产总值之间存在长期稳定关系,能源进口总量对中国国内生产总值有正向推动作用。中国与中亚的能源合作对中国的经济增长是有利的,加强双方的能源合作将给中国带来收益。最后本文提出了针对加强中国新疆与中亚能源合作的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Energy is the lifeblood of the world's economic development. At present, China is the largest energy consumer in the world. In 2015, the external dependence of crude oil in China is 59.60. The International Energy Agency estimates. By 2025, China's crude oil dependence may reach 82.China 's crude oil import areas and routes are unstable factors, mainly concentrated in the politically unstable Middle East and Africa. The import route is mainly through the Indian Ocean to the Strait of Malacca. The Central Asian countries adjacent to Xinjiang have abundant oil and natural gas resources. Energy cooperation with the Central Asian countries in the near future has helped to alleviate the excessive dependence on energy for transport by the East and the Middle East. The long-term development of energy pipeline construction to the Middle East. Therefore Xinjiang in China and Central Asia in the strategic position of energy cooperation is increasingly prominent. On the basis of summing up the domestic and foreign research achievements on energy development and energy cooperation between China's Xinjiang and Central Asia, and combining the actual situation of energy cooperation between China and Central Asia, the status of Xinjiang in energy cooperation between China and Central Asia is discussed. The current situation and problems of energy cooperation between Xinjiang and Central Asia in China are analyzed and evaluated. In this paper, the cointegration test of the relationship between total energy import and China's GDP from 1999 to 2014 is carried out. The results show that: 1. There is a long-term stable relationship between Xinjiang's total energy imports and China's gross domestic product (GDP). The total amount of energy imports has a positive impact on China's GDP. The energy cooperation between China and Central Asia is beneficial to China's economic growth. Strengthening the energy cooperation between the two sides will bring benefits to China. Finally, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for strengthening the energy cooperation between Xinjiang and Central Asia.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2;F125

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