中国去产能中的贸易应对策略

发布时间：2018-01-06 10:30

本文关键词：中国去产能中的贸易应对策略　出处：《云南财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：次贷危机以来,我国经济平稳运行,对世界经济贡献率逐年提高。在经济高速增长的背后,我国经济也出现了一些问题,其中产能过剩就是亟待解决的问题之一。产能过剩对经济有负面影响,其一,产能过剩导致银行坏账与信贷风险增加,其二,产能过剩限制内生增长,抑制民间投资,其三,产能过剩使资源利用效率下降,造成资源浪费、环境污染。近年,通过基础设施建设、兼并重组、淘汰落后产能等方式,我国在国内市场削减了部分产能,但需求端的增长乏力使得通过国内市场削减产能的空间有限,因此通过贸易转移,依托海外市场将成为我国削减产能的另一种途径。在贸易削减产能的过程中,存在各种各样的障碍,主要分为人为因素障碍与自然因素障碍两大类。文章主要研究通过贸易转移方式削减产能所面临的障碍,首先从微观层面寻找破解障碍的方法,然后通过选取2008-2015年,12个中国主要贸易国对中国钢铁,电解铝,平板玻璃三种过剩产品的关税税率,三种产品运输效率,以及12个国家要素资源禀赋的面板数据,设计计量模型检验这些因素对我国贸易成本的影响,并测算了影响程度。通过理论研究与数学推导得出:通过贸易方式削减产能是可行的,国内市场成本与贸易成本在削减产能中是作用相反的两种“力”,当国内市场成本大于贸易成本时,企业才会通过对外贸易途径削减过剩产能。通过计量分析得出:关税与运输成本都阻碍了贸易,要素资源禀赋则会促进贸易。发达国家的关税阻碍程度大于欠发达国家,欠发达国家的运输成本阻碍程度大于发达国家。依据研究成果,对我国通过贸易削减产能提出政策建议。如增强企业国际竞争力;减少发达国家的产能转移;加大欠发达国家的产能转移等。
[Abstract]:Since the subprime mortgage crisis, China's economy has run smoothly and the contribution rate to the world economy has been increasing year by year. Behind the rapid economic growth, there are also some problems in our country's economy. Overcapacity is one of the problems to be solved. Overcapacity has a negative impact on the economy. Firstly, overcapacity leads to the increase of bad debts and credit risk of banks, and second, overcapacity limits endogenous growth. In recent years, infrastructure construction, merger and reorganization, and elimination of backward production capacity have led to the reduction of resource utilization efficiency, waste of resources and environmental pollution. China has reduced some of its capacity in the domestic market, but the weak growth on the demand side has limited space to reduce production capacity through the domestic market, so it is transferred through trade. Relying on overseas markets will become another way to reduce China's production capacity. In the process of reducing production capacity in trade, there are various obstacles. This paper mainly studies the obstacles faced by the way of trade transfer to reduce production capacity, first of all, from the micro level to find ways to solve the obstacles. Then from 2008 to 2015, 12 major trading countries of China's iron and steel, electrolytic aluminum, flat glass three kinds of excess products tariff rates, three product transport efficiency. As well as the panel data of 12 countries' factor resource endowment, the econometric model is designed to test the impact of these factors on China's trade costs. Through theoretical research and mathematical derivation, it is concluded that it is feasible to reduce production capacity through trade, and that domestic market cost and trade cost are two kinds of "forces" which have opposite effect in reducing production capacity. When the domestic market cost is higher than the trade cost, the enterprise will reduce the excess capacity through the foreign trade channel. Through the econometric analysis, it is concluded that both the tariff and the transport cost hinder the trade. Factor resource endowment will promote trade. The degree of tariff hindrance in developed countries is greater than that in less developed countries, and the degree of transportation cost hindrance in less developed countries is greater than that in developed countries. To our country through the trade to reduce the production capacity to put forward the policy suggestion, such as strengthens the enterprise international competitive power; Reducing capacity transfer in developed countries; Increase capacity transfer in less developed countries.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752;F424

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