基于AHP-熵权法的水利工程业主风险模糊评价

发布时间：2018-01-11 14:19

本文关键词：基于AHP-熵权法的水利工程业主风险模糊评价　出处：《人民黄河》2017年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：水利工程建设中潜藏着众多风险,工程的顺利建设离不开对风险进行管理和控制。水利工程风险管理由风险辨识、估计、评价、控制4部分构成,风险的量化是关键。从业主的角度分析水利工程项目存在的风险,构建风险评价指标体系,利用层次分析法(AHP)建立主观权重、熵权法建立客观权重,并根据不同的方法确定主客观相结合的综合权重,结合模糊数学方法建立综合评价模型。通过工程案例分析比较了不同主客观综合权重确定方法的差异和对评价系统的适用性,验证了评价模型的实用性。
[Abstract]:There are many risks hidden in the construction of water conservancy projects, and the smooth construction of water conservancy projects can not be separated from the management and control of risks, which consists of four parts: risk identification, estimation, evaluation and control. Risk quantification is the key. From the owner's point of view, the risk of water conservancy project is analyzed, the risk evaluation index system is constructed, the subjective weight is established by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the objective weight is established by entropy weight method. And according to different methods to determine the combination of subjective and objective comprehensive weight. A comprehensive evaluation model is established by using fuzzy mathematics method. The difference of different subjective and objective synthetic weight determination methods and their applicability to evaluation system are compared through engineering case analysis, and the practicability of the evaluation model is verified.
【作者单位】：华北水利水电大学;河南黄河河务局工程建设中心;
【基金】：河南省高等学校重点项目(16A570009)
【分类号】：F426.91
【正文快照】： 水利工程涉及面广、技术复杂、工程量和投资巨大,在建设过程中隐藏的风险巨大,工程的顺利建设离不开对风险进行管理和控制。最小的投入、最快的进度、获得最优质的产品是业主的三大目标,它们之间相互制约、相互影响。若业主在工程项目的管理过程中没有树立风险意识,则难以避免

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