LNG点供行业现状及前景展望

发布时间：2018-01-21 22:24

本文关键词： 中国 LNG点供煤改气制约因素开发模式油气改革政策环境发展前景　出处：《天然气工业》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：受低油价的影响并得益于国家强力推进"煤改气"工程,综合经济性明显的LNG点供项目逐渐成为投资、建设的热点。但由于目前LNG点供项目存在着设计规范和行业标准缺失、违规建设及手续不全等诸多问题,特别是对城市燃气企业特许经营权造成了巨大的冲击,致使地方政府和管道燃气企业对其抱有抵触心态。为此,通过多方走访调研,总结了LNG点供项目商务模式、建设模式、运营模式、投资模式、合同模式、计量模式等方面较为成功的经验,分析了LNG点供项目发展的政策环境,梳理了其发展的制约因素。最后,结合我国油气改革的形势,展望了LNG点供行业的发展前景:(1)LNG气化站设计、建设方面规范缺失的局面有望在近期内得到极大的改善;(2)在目前低油价水平下,LNG点供项目很可能会在更大的范围内普及;(3)从长远来看,管道气仍应是主要的供气方式,LNG点供可作为前者的补充,将目标市场锁定在管道不发达的城镇、农村,以气化居民、工商业用户为主。
[Abstract]:Under the influence of low oil price and thanks to the strong promotion of "coal to gas" project, the LNG project with obvious comprehensive economy has gradually become an investment. But there are many problems such as the lack of design specification and industry standard, illegal construction and incomplete procedures for the current LNG supply project. Especially to the city gas enterprise franchise has caused the huge impact, causes the local government and the pipeline gas enterprise to have the resistance mentality to it. Therefore, through the multi-party visit investigation. This paper summarizes the successful experience of LNG point supply project business model, construction mode, operation mode, investment model, contract model, measurement model, and analyzes the policy environment of LNG point supply project development. Finally, combined with the situation of oil and gas reform in China, the prospect of the development of LNG supply industry is prospected. The lack of norms in construction is expected to be greatly improved in the near future; (2) at the current low oil price level, LNG supply projects are likely to become more widely available; In the long run, pipeline gas should still be the main mode of gas supply. LNG point supply can be used as a supplement to the former, and the target market should be locked in the undeveloped cities and towns, rural areas for gasification of residents. Industrial and commercial user-oriented.
【作者单位】：中国石油规划总院;中国石油工程设计有限责任公司;中国地质大学(北京);中国石油大学(北京);中广核双闽燃气江苏有限公司;中国石油天然气销售南方分公司;
【分类号】：F426.22
【正文快照】： 1我国LNG行业发展现状我国LNG资源主要来自于内陆LNG工厂自产和沿海LNG接收站引进。近年来,我国LNG产能建设速度加快,截至2016年12月底,全国LNG工厂累计投产149座(图1),产能达9 220×104 m3/d(约304×108 m3/a),还有19座LNG工厂在建,若全部投运,总液化能力将达1.06×108 m3/d(

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