国家金属资源安全研究回顾与展望

发布时间：2018-02-08 14:51

本文关键词： 国家资源安全金属资源内涵机理评估方法战略政策　出处：《资源科学》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：金属资源是国民经济建设的重要物质基础,金属资源安全事关国家安全。本文从内涵机理、驱动因素、评估方法、战略与政策四个方面梳理了近年来国家金属资源安全研究进展。研究表明,国家金属资源安全涵盖供给安全、经济安全和生态安全,主要受资源禀赋、经济发展、技术进步等因素的影响。国家战略性金属的关键性评估方法包括关键性矩阵、关键性指数和未来供需定量分析等;金属资源需求预测方法主要有趋势外推法、自下而上法和数理统计法等;国家金属资源市场势力和定价权评估方法主要有勒纳指数、HHI指数以及均衡博弈模型等。世界各国都根据本国国情采取了不同的金属资源安全保障战略和政策工具。未来应加强在国家金属资源非常规安全机理、新技术革命对金属资源供需的冲击、国际贸易规则以及重大战略实施对国家金属资源安全的影响等方面的研究。
[Abstract]:Metal resources are the important material foundation of national economic construction, and the safety of metal resources is related to national security. Four aspects of strategy and policy are reviewed. The research shows that the safety of national metal resources covers supply security, economic security and ecological security, mainly due to resource endowment and economic development. The key evaluation methods of national strategic metals include the key matrix, key index and quantitative analysis of future supply and demand, and the methods of forecasting the demand of metal resources are mainly trend extrapolation. Bottom-up and mathematical statistics; The main methods for evaluating the market power and pricing power of national metal resources are Lerner index HHI index and equilibrium game model etc. According to their national conditions, countries all over the world have adopted different strategies and policy tools for metal resources safety and security. ... in the future, unconventional safety mechanisms in the country's metal resources should be strengthened, The impact of the new technological revolution on the supply and demand of metal resources, the impact of the rules of international trade and the implementation of major strategies on the safety of national metal resources, etc.
【作者单位】：中南大学商学院;国土资源部国土资源战略研究重点实验室;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDB136);国家社会科学基金项目(13BGL105;13CJY029) 国家自然科学基金重点项目(71633006)
【分类号】：F426.32

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