中美产业竞争力及经常账户可维持性分析——基于贸易增加值视角

发布时间：2018-02-22 21:39

本文关键词： 产业竞争力经常账户可维持性贸易增加值人民币国际化　出处：《当代经济科学》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文基于贸易增加值视角,采用跨国面板数据对比分析了中美的产业竞争力及经常账户可维持性。结果显示,中国制造业在国内增加值、全球价值链参与度指标上位居世界前列,创造了大量的外汇收入,中国是名副其实的制造业大国。而在全球价值链地位、国内增值率指标上,中国的表现却远不如美国,说明中国并不具备产业核心竞争力,制造业"大而不强"。全球参与度逐年降低,说明中国经常账户的盈余缺乏可持续性,当前制造业的低端创汇模式不可持续。因此需积极推行供给侧结构性改革和制造业转型升级,加大核心技术领域的研发投入,掌握产业核心竞争力,提升制造业在全球价值链分工中的地位,从而实现经常账户盈余的可持续性,为资本账户开放和人民币国际化打下坚实的基础。
[Abstract]:Based on the perspective of value added of trade, this paper compares the industrial competitiveness and current account maintainability of China and the United States with cross-country panel data. The results show that China's manufacturing industry has added value at home. Global value chain participation is among the highest in the world, generating a large amount of foreign exchange income. China is a truly manufacturing country. However, in terms of global value chain status and domestic value added ratio, China's performance is far less than that of the United States. This means that China does not have the core competitiveness of the industry, and that the manufacturing industry is "large but not strong." Global participation is decreasing year by year, which means that China's current account surplus is not sustainable. The current low end foreign exchange earning mode of manufacturing industry is not sustainable. Therefore, it is necessary to actively promote supply-side structural reform and transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry, increase R & D investment in the core technology field, and master the core competitiveness of the industry. To enhance the position of manufacturing industry in the division of labor in global value chain, so as to achieve the sustainability of current account surplus, and lay a solid foundation for capital account opening and RMB internationalization.
【作者单位】：厦门大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“经济持续增长进程中的通货膨胀控制:量化宽松、最优通胀率和宏观审慎政策研究”(13BJY169)
【分类号】：F424;F471.2;F752.6;F757.12

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