海外矿山项目并购外部风险评价

发布时间：2018-02-28 23:30

本文关键词： 海外矿山项目并购外部风险三角模糊数粗糙集云物元　出处：《资源开发与市场》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于现有文献,对海外矿山项目并购的主要外部风险因素进行了识别。在海外矿山项目并购外部风险评价指标体系中加入金融风险等相关指标,运用TFN-RS模型确定各评价指标权重,结合主客观赋权的双重优势,将云理论与物元理论相结合,运用Matlab软件编程计算出各指标的风险等级隶属度,构建了海外矿山项目并购外部风险评价的云物元模型,提高了对风险模糊性和不确定性的评价精度。以我国河北钢铁集团并购加拿大阿尔德隆公司Kami铁矿项目为例进行应用,结果显示,该项目的风险等级为"低",但社会文化风险高。
[Abstract]:Based on the existing literature, this paper identifies the main external risk factors of M & A of overseas mining projects, and adds financial risk and other related indicators to the evaluation index system of external risk of M & A of overseas mining projects. Using TFN-RS model to determine the weight of each evaluation index, combining the dual advantages of subjective and objective weight, combining cloud theory with matter-element theory, using Matlab software programming to calculate the risk grade membership degree of each index. A cloud matter-element model for the external risk evaluation of overseas mining projects is constructed, which improves the evaluation accuracy of risk ambiguity and uncertainty. Taking the Kami iron ore project of Alderon Company in Canada as an example, Hebei Iron and Steel Group of China is taken as an example. The results showed that the risk level of the project was "low", but the sociocultural risk was high.
【作者单位】：江西理工大学矿业贸易与投资研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“海外矿业投资经营管理风险评估与预警系统研究”(编号:12CGL008) 江西理工大学清江青年英才支持计划项目“‘一带一路’沿线国家矿产资源开发利用风险评价技术研究”(编号:16QJYC012)
【分类号】：F271;F426.1

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