生产性服务业与制造业的相长机制及对西部地区产业集聚的启示

发布时间：2018-03-03 05:14

本文选题：供给侧改革　切入点：生产性服务业成长　出处：《兰州财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济经历了三十多年年均两位数的高速增长,成就辉煌,令世界瞩目,然而,与此同时,国内区域经济发展不平衡问题逐渐显现出来,如东西部产业级差不断拉大,政府为缩小东西部经济差距,在2000年实施了西部大开发、产业转移等发展战略,大大改善了西部地区的基础设施和投资环境,然而并没能够使西部地区建立起具有竞争优势的产业,两个较为重要的原因,其一西部地区深居内陆,自然条件较为恶劣,交通不便,多山少雨,地广人稀,人均可支配收入较低,本地市场效应难以发挥;其二是西部地区产业基础差,仅依赖较为丰富的自然资源,矿采业和资源初级加工业有一定集聚度,产业链延伸度不够,产业附加值比较低,由于缺乏相应的配套基础设施,从而无法使东部转移过来的产业根植下来。本文尝试从生产性服务业与制造业的相长机制入手,在理论上以D--S模型和新经济地理学的视角推导二者的相长机制,从理论上推导二者相互促进的机理,并通过格兰杰因果检验发现二者确实存在相长关系。通过集聚度和最小二乘法回归分析得出以下几个主要结论:一是验证了东西部产业发展的中心外围模型;二是自02年劳动密集型制造业集聚度达到峰值后,逐年下降,而西部则是逐年上升,减缓了向东部地区的劳动力输出;三是生产性服务业对制造业集聚有显著的促进作用;四是熟练劳动力和政府在制造业集聚中具有重要作用;最后西部地区制造业与高端生产性服务业存在结构性问题,一方面,西部地区高端生产性服务业发展滞后,不能对制造业形成强有力的推动作用,另一方面,西部地区制造业发展对高端生产性服务业的有效需求不足,难以带动高端生产性服务业的快速成长。论文的最后部分结合以上问题给出西部地区产业发展的启示。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has experienced 30 years of annual double-digit rapid growth, brilliant achievements, attracted the attention of the world. However, at the same time, the imbalance of domestic regional economic development has gradually emerged. In 2000, in order to narrow the economic gap between the east and the west, the government implemented the development strategy of the western region, such as the development of the western region, industrial transfer, and so on, which greatly improved the infrastructure and investment environment in the western region. However, there are two more important reasons why the western region has not been able to set up an industry with competitive advantages. One is that the western region lives deep inland, the natural conditions are relatively bad, the transportation is inconvenient, there are more mountains and less rain, and vast areas of land are sparsely populated. The per capita disposable income is relatively low, and the local market effect is difficult to bring into play. Secondly, the industrial base in the western region is poor, relying only on relatively rich natural resources, the mining and primary processing industries have a certain degree of concentration, and the extension of the industrial chain is not enough. Industrial added value is relatively low, due to the lack of corresponding supporting infrastructure, so that the eastern transfer of industry roots. This paper attempts to start from the producer services and manufacturing industry long mechanism, In theory, we deduce the mutual mechanism of the two from the angle of D- S model and new economic geography, and theoretically deduce the mechanism of mutual promotion between them. Through Granger causality test, it is found that there is a long relationship between them. The main conclusions are as follows: first, it verifies the central and peripheral model of industrial development in the east and west; The second is that the concentration of labor-intensive manufacturing industry has reached its peak in 2002, which has declined year by year, while that in the west has increased year by year, which has slowed down the labor force export to the east, and the producer service industry has significantly promoted the agglomeration of manufacturing industry. Fourth, skilled labor and government play an important role in manufacturing agglomeration. Finally, there are structural problems between manufacturing and high-end producer services in the western region. On the one hand, the development of high-end producer services in the western region lags behind. On the other hand, there is insufficient effective demand for high-end producer services in the development of manufacturing industries in the western region. It is difficult to promote the rapid growth of high-end producer service industry. The last part of the paper gives the enlightenment of the western region industry development combined with the above problems.
【学位授予单位】：兰州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F427

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