市场潜能、新型城镇化与工业空间集聚——理论框架及来自我国的经验证据

发布时间：2018-03-09 18:03

本文选题：市场潜能　切入点：城镇化　出处：《工业技术经济》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文在空间经济理论的基础上,引入城镇化因素构建了关于产业集聚的新经济地理学模型,以1999~2015年我国省级面板数据为样本,实证分析了市场潜能和人口——经济——社会城镇化对工业集聚的影响及其区域空间分异,并进行了稳健性分析。研究发现:地区市场潜能的提升对工业集聚具有显著的正向影响,东部影响最大,西部最小,中部次之;3个层面城镇化因素均有利于工业企业集聚,其中经济城镇化和社会城镇化的促进作用明显大于人口城镇化,且东中部地区经济城镇化和社会城镇化的促进作用比西部地区大,而对于人口城镇化的积极作用而言,中西部差异较小,东部明显大于中西部。考虑异方差和自相关、外生冲击以及工业集聚路径依赖性的3次稳健性分析也基本支持市场潜能、城镇化与地区工业集聚度之间关系是稳定可信的。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of spatial economy, this paper constructs a new economic geography model of industrial agglomeration by introducing urbanization factors, and takes the provincial panel data of our country from 1999 to 2015 as samples. This paper empirically analyzes the influence of market potential and population-economic-social urbanization on industrial agglomeration and its regional spatial differentiation, and makes a robust analysis. It is found that the promotion of regional market potential has a significant positive impact on industrial agglomeration. The influence of the east is the biggest, the west is the smallest, and the middle is the second, and the three factors of urbanization are all favorable to the agglomeration of industrial enterprises, among which the economic urbanization and the social urbanization are obviously more important than the population urbanization. The economic urbanization and social urbanization in the eastern and central regions are more important than those in the western region, but the difference between the central and western regions is small, and the eastern part is obviously larger than the central and western regions, considering heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. The three robust analyses of exogenous shocks and industrial agglomeration path dependence also basically support the market potential. The relationship between urbanization and regional industrial concentration is stable and credible.
【作者单位】：四川旅游规划设计研究院;西南财经大学;
【基金】：四川省哲学社会科学研究“十二五”规划重点项目(项目编号:SC14A003)
【分类号】：F299.21;F424

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