OFDI与中国工业产能利用水平波动

发布时间：2018-04-12 14:38

本文选题：对外直接投资(OFDI) + 工业产能过剩　；参考：《东北财经大学学报》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文在对二元OFDI与工业产能过剩关系的机理分析基础上,基于1994—2014年的样本数据,从对外直接投资(OFDI)的路径——顺梯度OFDI与逆梯度OFDI,利用向量自回归(VAR)模型,重点分析了两类OFDI对中国工业产能利用水平的影响。实证结果表明,顺梯度OFDI、逆梯度OFDI均对工业产能利用水平具有正向作用。顺梯度OFDI通过在国外投资建厂,会直接带动开采挖掘设备和相关维护设备的出口以及国内一些以自然资源为原料的加工制成品的出口,从而提高中国工业产能利用水平。逆梯度OFDI在初期也会带动一部分产品的出口,但其逆向技术溢出效应更为显著,国内母公司通过消化吸收由海外子公司传回的国外先进工艺与技术,对本国产品进行加工升级,提高产品质量,刺激产品需求,优化产业结构,达到化解产能过剩的目的。
[Abstract]:Based on the mechanism analysis of the relationship between binary OFDI and industrial overcapacity, and based on the sample data from 1994 to 2014, this paper uses the vector autoregressive (VAR) model from the path of OFDI and inverse gradient OFDI of foreign direct investment (OFDI).The influence of two kinds of OFDI on the level of industrial capacity utilization in China is analyzed.The empirical results show that there is a positive effect on the industrial productivity utilization level in both the downgraded OFDI and the inverse gradient OFDI.By investing in foreign factories, OFDI will directly promote the export of mining and mining equipment and related maintenance equipment, as well as the export of some domestic manufactured products based on natural resources, thus improving the level of industrial capacity utilization in China.The reverse gradient OFDI will also promote the export of some products at the initial stage, but its reverse technology spillover effect is more obvious. The domestic parent company processes and upgrades the domestic products by digesting and absorbing the advanced foreign technology transferred back from the overseas subsidiaries.Improve product quality, stimulate product demand, optimize industrial structure, achieve the purpose of resolving overcapacity.
【作者单位】：东北财经大学投资工程管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“抑制产能过剩与治理重复建设对策研究”(09&ZD026)
【分类号】：F125;F424

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