中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品出口潜力研究——基于扩展引力模型的实证分析

发布时间：2018-04-14 03:35

本文选题：丝绸之路经济带 + 机电产品　；参考：《国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报)》2017年04期

【摘要】：本文作者使用2005~2014年中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品贸易的面板数据,通过构建相对应的扩展引力模型,研究中国对这些国家机电产品出口的影响因素和贸易潜力。实证结果表明:进口国国内生产总值、经济开放程度、对中国直接投资和优惠贸易制度安排会推动中国机电产品出口,而地理距离和进口国为内陆国是主要的阻碍因素。潜力分析结果显示中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家在机电产品贸易领域仍有较大潜力,有进一步发展的空间。最后,基于模型结果,作者提出了促进中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品出口的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Using the panel data of the trade between China and the countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt from 2005 to 2014, the author studies the influence factors and trade potential of China on the export of mechanical and electrical products to these countries by constructing the corresponding extended gravity model.The empirical results show that the gross domestic product (GDP) of the importing country, the degree of economic openness, the arrangement of direct investment and preferential trade system to China will promote the export of China's mechanical and electrical products, while the geographical distance and the importing country are the main hindrance factors.The results of potential analysis show that China and the countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt still have great potential in the field of trade in mechanical and electrical products and there is room for further development.Finally, based on the model results, the author puts forward some policy suggestions to promote China's export of mechanical and electrical products to the countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt.
【作者单位】：河海大学商学院;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务项目“中国对中东欧国家贸易绩效影响因素分析”(2016B46114) 江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目(KYLX16_0673)
【分类号】：F426.61;F752.62

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