我国能源消费结构变化与经济增长关系研究

发布时间：2018-04-21 14:50

本文选题：能源消费结构 + 经济增长　；参考：《广东财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以后,我国经济快速增长,能源消费量大幅提升。化石能源是我国的主要能源,大量使用导致环境污染日趋严重,影响了经济增长与日常生活,为此我国采取措施积极调整能源消费结构。调整能源消费结构,改变能源投入,对经济系统与环境状态产生影响,而这二者又会反过来影响能源投入。在此背景下,研究能源消费结构变化与经济增长之间的关系,对我国进行能源结构调整具有重要的政策意义与理论意义。基于1978-2015年我国能源消费和经济增长的相关数据,对二者现状和趋势进行描述性分析,把能源消费结构定义为化石能源消费量与非化石能源消费量之比,建立包含劳动力、资本、化石能源与非化石能源四种生产要素的柯布道格拉斯生产函数,在此基础上分析能源消费结构与经济增长之间的关系,并研究全要素生产率对能源消费结构产生的影响。研究结果如下:(1)经济增长与各生产要素之间存在长期均衡关系,二者互为彼此的格兰杰原因;(2)各生产要素都能促进经济增长,当能源消费结构的比例小于10:1时,非化石能源对经济增长的贡献率大于化石能源贡献率;(3)全要素生产率的增长率每提高1%,能源消费结构优化0.13%。最后,提出政策建议:(1)加快产业结构调整升级;(2)优化调整能源消费结构;(3)提升自身研发能力。
[Abstract]:After reform and opening up, our country economy grows rapidly, energy consumption rises substantially. Fossil energy is the main energy in China. The environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious due to the extensive use of fossil energy, which affects the economic growth and daily life. Therefore, China has taken measures to adjust the energy consumption structure actively. Adjusting the energy consumption structure and changing the energy input will have an impact on the economic system and the state of the environment, which in turn will affect the energy input. Under this background, it is of great policy and theoretical significance to study the relationship between the change of energy consumption structure and economic growth. Based on the relevant data of energy consumption and economic growth in China from 1978 to 2015, this paper makes a descriptive analysis of the current situation and trend of energy consumption, defines the energy consumption structure as the ratio of fossil energy consumption to non-fossil energy consumption, and establishes a system that includes labor force and capital. Based on the Cobb Douglas production function of fossil and non-fossil energy production factors, the relationship between energy consumption structure and economic growth is analyzed, and the influence of total factor productivity on energy consumption structure is studied. The results are as follows: 1) there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between economic growth and various factors of production, and the two are each other's Granger reasons. Each factor of production can promote economic growth. When the proportion of energy consumption structure is less than 10:1, The contribution rate of non-fossil energy to economic growth is greater than that of fossil energy. Finally, the paper puts forward policy recommendations: 1) accelerating industrial structure adjustment and upgrading 2) optimizing and adjusting energy consumption structure and 3) improving R & D capability.
【学位授予单位】：广东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2;F124.1

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