城市更新视角下既有建筑绿色改造PPP模式研究
发布时间:2018-05-03 17:36
本文选题:城市更新 + 既有建筑绿色改造 ; 参考:《哈尔滨工业大学》2017年硕士论文
【摘要】:随着社会经济的快速发展,城市发展过程中产生的城市问题愈发突出,城市建设中整体高速发展与局部日渐衰落的矛盾愈发明显,高能耗老旧建筑量大而广与更新改造效率后劲不足的冲突愈发尖锐。因此,传统的改造模式迫切需要改变创新。在此背景下,本文希望从城市更新视角出发,针对PPP模式应用于既有建筑绿色改造项目的科学、合理性进行分析探讨。本文首先通过对相关理论进行梳理和总结,从动力机制、改造效益、发展现状、运营效果等方面分析了城市更新、既有建筑绿色改造、PPP模式三者之间的交互关系,构建了理论关联分析。其次,从政策、资源、经济、操作等方面作为切入点,分析了城市更新视角下,既有建筑绿色改造PPP模式的可行性。接着,以城市更新视角下的可持续发展和以人为本为导向,引入了开发性改造思维,对改造项目的可实现拓展收益进行最大限度的发掘,并以此为基础对既有建筑绿色改造PPP运作模式进行构思设计。最后,基于有限理性假设建立政企双方演化博弈的优化模型,从复制动态方程演化结果出发,优化分析博弈双方群体的演化稳定策略。在案例分析部分,本文首先以深圳市塘朗小学绿色改造项目为基础,将设计的既有建筑绿色改造PPP运作模式应用到该项目中进行案例模拟。接着,结合演化博弈模型,用Matlab R2015b进行仿真分析,分析在初始参数、政府群体及私营群体优化参数后的演化稳定均衡。最后在案例分析和仿真分析的基础上,为政府群体及投资群体提出相关决策建议。案例分析及仿真结果表明,在该项目中,投资群体通过增大市场反馈调整力度,加大挖掘潜在合理的拓展性收益,能够影响博弈系统朝向收敛于最优均衡解的方向发展。此外,政府群体的政策决策也是决定博弈双方走向良性均衡的重要因素,政府群体通过适当加大对绿色改造的激励策略,科学合理地实行政策干预和公众参与,能有效促进博弈双方向最优演化稳定均衡方向发展。最后,根据案例分析的结论,为PPP项目运作中的政府群体及投资群体提出相关决策建议,以期促进绿色改造项目的实施,推动城市更新的发展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of social economy, the urban problems in the process of urban development become more and more prominent, and the contradiction between the overall high-speed development and the local decline in urban construction becomes more and more obvious. The conflict between the high energy consumption old buildings and the renewal efficiency is more and more acute. Therefore, the traditional transformation model urgently needs to change the innovation. Under this background, this paper hopes to analyze and discuss the science and rationality of the application of PPP model in the green reconstruction projects of existing buildings from the perspective of urban renewal. Firstly, through combing and summing up the relevant theories, this paper analyzes the interaction among the three modes of urban renewal, existing building green transformation and PPP from the aspects of power mechanism, transformation benefit, development status quo, operation effect and so on. Theoretical correlation analysis is constructed. Secondly, from the aspects of policy, resources, economy, operation and so on, this paper analyzes the feasibility of PPP model of green reconstruction of existing buildings from the perspective of urban renewal. Then, with the view of sustainable development and people-oriented under the perspective of urban renewal, this paper introduces the thinking of development-oriented transformation, and excavates the realizable and expanding benefits of the transformation project to the maximum extent. And on this basis, the green transformation of existing buildings PPP operation model for conceptual design. Finally, based on the hypothesis of finite rationality, the optimization model of evolutionary game between government and enterprise is established, and the evolutionary stability strategy of both groups is optimized by replicating the evolution results of dynamic equation. In the part of case analysis, based on the green transformation project of Tanglang Primary School in Shenzhen City, this paper applies the PPP operation mode of green transformation of existing buildings to the project to carry out the case simulation. Then, combined with the evolutionary game model, Matlab R2015b is used to simulate and analyze the evolution stability equilibrium after the initial parameters, the government group and the private group optimize the parameters. Finally, on the basis of case analysis and simulation analysis, some suggestions are put forward for government and investment groups. The case analysis and simulation results show that, in this project, the investment group can increase the market feedback and increase the potential and reasonable exploitation income, which can influence the development of game system towards converging to the optimal equilibrium solution. In addition, the policy decision of the government group is also the important factor that decides the game both sides to move toward the benign equilibrium. The government group carries out the policy intervention and the public participation scientifically and reasonably through appropriately increasing the incentive strategy to the green transformation. It can effectively promote the two sides of the game to the direction of optimal evolution and stable equilibrium. Finally, according to the conclusion of the case analysis, this paper puts forward the relevant decision suggestions for the government groups and investment groups in the operation of the PPP project, in order to promote the implementation of the green transformation project and promote the development of urban renewal.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F426.92;F283
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