可再生能源消费对经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-12 04:33

本文选题：可再生能源 + 经济增长　；参考：《山东大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：全球范围内由能源引发的资源环境问题愈发严峻,非再生能源的过度消耗使得人类面临不可避免的能源短缺问题,同时也使得人们赖以生存的生态环境承载能力逐渐下降,严重阻碍着世界各国经济的可持续发展。在世界各国大力推行节能减排措施的趋势下,作为清洁无污染特性的可再生能源产业越来越受到各国政府、企业以及研究学者的重视。在此背景下,对可再生能源与经济增长间的关系进行深入的实证研究,并根据结论尝试为政府部门提出相关能源政策建议,具有极其重要的现实意义。本文旨在利用面板数据模型等方法,对所选取的34个样本国家(地区)1994至2014年的经济数据进行检验与分析,探讨可再生能源消费与经济增长之间的影响关系,并根据研究结论尝试提出发展可再生能源的政策建议。首先根据全球可再生能源吸引力指数 RECAI(Renewable Energy Country Attractiveness Index),选取34个国家(地区)作为分析样本,进而对生产函数模型进行改进,将可再生能源与非可再生能源当作独立的投入要素考虑进Cobb-Douglas函数中,利用样本国家1994至2014年的经济数据建立面板数据模型,并对面板数据进行平稳性分析和协整关系检验。通过对面板数据长期产出弹性的分析,初步确定可再生能源与经济增长之间存在正向关系,进而通过F检验与Hausman检验,建立个体固定效应模型进行回归分析,得知可再生能源消费与经济增长之间存在正线性关系,可再生能源消费量每增加1%,国内生产总值(GDP)将增加0.0450%。最后本文提出,随着非再生能源的过度使用以及核安全问题的频繁发生,在当今世界各国政府提倡节能减排以及的背景下,发展可再生能源势在必行。各国政府和企业通过制定积极的可再生能源产业政策,既可以使得政府完成节能减排的目标,又可以在一定程度上促进经济的发展。
[Abstract]:The problem of resources and environment caused by energy is becoming more and more serious in the world. The excessive consumption of non-renewable energy makes people face the inevitable problem of energy shortage, at the same time, the carrying capacity of ecological environment on which people depend for survival is gradually declining. It seriously hinders the sustainable development of the world economy. Under the trend of implementing energy saving and emission reduction measures in the world, the renewable energy industry, which is characterized by clean and pollution-free, has been paid more and more attention by governments, enterprises and researchers. In this context, it is of great practical significance to make an in-depth empirical study on the relationship between renewable energy and economic growth, and try to put forward relevant energy policy recommendations for government departments according to the conclusions. The purpose of this paper is to test and analyze the economic data of 34 sample countries (regions) from 1994 to 2014 by using panel data model, and to explore the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth. According to the conclusion of the study, the author tries to put forward some policy suggestions for the development of renewable energy. Firstly, according to the global renewable energy attraction index (RECAI(Renewable Energy Country Attractiveness Index), 34 countries (regions) are selected as the analysis samples, and then the production function model is improved. The renewable energy and non-renewable energy are considered as independent input elements in the Cobb-Douglas function. The panel data model is established by using the economic data from 1994 to 2014 in the sample countries, and the stationary analysis and cointegration test of the panel data are carried out. Through the analysis of the long-term output elasticity of panel data, the positive relationship between renewable energy and economic growth is preliminarily determined, and then, through F test and Hausman test, the individual fixed effect model is established for regression analysis. It is known that there is a positive linear relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth. For each increase in renewable energy consumption, GDP will increase by 0.0450. Finally, with the overuse of non-renewable energy and the frequent occurrence of nuclear safety problems, it is imperative to develop renewable energy under the background of energy conservation and emission reduction advocated by governments in the world. The governments and enterprises of various countries can make the government accomplish the goal of energy saving and emission reduction and promote the development of economy to a certain extent by making active policies of renewable energy industry.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F416.2;F113

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