我国光伏行业产能过剩的原因及对策研究

发布时间：2018-05-20 13:06

本文选题：产能过剩 + 光伏行业　；参考：《云南财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在我国产业经济发展中,产能过剩问题逐渐成为阻碍产业结构优化和国民经济发展的重要方面。它不仅仅会扭曲产品价格,损害市场效率,还会导致资源错配,形成僵尸企业,致使产业结构优化程度下降。由于受到技术水平的支持和人们需求的带动,光伏行业得到了很大程度的发展,并由其节能、高效的特征备受投资者的青睐。从而,光伏行业一度获得了大幅扩展。但是,自金融危机后,我国光伏行业开始呈现出产能过剩的状况。因此,探析光伏行业产能利用状况及其诱因日益成为理论研究的重要方面。围绕我国光伏行业中产能过剩的程度以及是何种原因造成了我国新兴产业的产能过剩等一系列问题,本文从理论角度进行了深入探讨。本文以我国光伏行业的发展现状为背景,结合市场进入理论、政府干预理论以及进入壁垒理论,基于上市公司的具体数据,对我国光伏行业的产能过剩状态进行了统计分析,并使用面板数据分析我国光伏行业产能利用状况的诱因及其影响机制。本文结论主要有:一方面,通过构建测度指标发现,我国光伏行业中普遍存在产能过剩现象,并且产能利用状况总体偏低;另一方面,通过实证分析发现,政府补助、出口额、研发投入对产能过剩率具有显著影响:政府补助对产能过剩具有较为明显的推动作用,并且政府补助会通过影响资本密集度影响产能过剩状况;研发投入有利于缓解产能过剩;出口状况正向决定着产能状况的变动方向,当出口额度提高时,产能过剩程度便能够得到缓解。相较于已有研究,本文主要的创新点包括三方面,一是选取光伏行业为研究对象,研究视角更加聚焦。二是将产能过剩程度的测度与实证检验相结合,分析框架更为严谨。三是将各种影响因素综合考虑进行实证,计量回归更加细致。本文通过相关上市公司的数据测度,从市场、政府和企业三个维度提出了相应的应对策略,并强调产能过剩问题的缓解更多地应该依赖于市场去解决,政府产业政策的干预容易导致过度干预问题。
[Abstract]:In the development of China's industrial economy, the problem of overcapacity has gradually become an important aspect that hinders the optimization of industrial structure and the development of the national economy. It will not only distort the price of the products and damage the market efficiency, but also lead to the mismatch of resources and the formation of zombie Enterprises, resulting in a decline in the optimization of the industrial structure. Driven by demand, the photovoltaic industry has been greatly developed, and the characteristics of energy saving and efficiency are favored by investors. Thus, the photovoltaic industry has been greatly expanded. However, since the financial crisis, China's photovoltaic industry has begun to present a surplus of production capacity. It has become an important aspect of theoretical research. In this paper, a series of problems, such as the degree of overcapacity in the photovoltaic industry and what causes the overcapacity in China's emerging industries, are discussed in depth. This paper is based on the development of the photovoltaic industry in China, combining the market entry theory and the government. The pre theory and the entry barrier theory, based on the specific data of the listed companies, make a statistical analysis of the overcapacity state of the photovoltaic industry in China, and use the panel data to analyze the inducement and influence mechanism of the capacity utilization of the photovoltaic industry in China. On the other hand, government subsidies, exports and R & D inputs have a significant impact on overcapacity: government subsidies have a significant impact on overcapacity, and government subsidies will affect capital density. The development input is beneficial to alleviate overcapacity; the export situation is determining the change direction of the production capacity. When the export quota is increased, the degree of overcapacity can be relieved. Compared with the existing research, the main innovation points are three aspects, one is to select the photovoltaic industry as the research object and the research perspective. Two is to combine the measure of the degree of overcapacity with the empirical test, the analysis frame is more rigorous. Three is to take all kinds of factors into consideration and make the regression more meticulous. Through the measurement of the relevant listed companies, this paper puts forward the corresponding coping strategies from the market, the government and the enterprises in three dimensions, and makes a strong production adjustment. The mitigation of excess energy should be more dependent on the market. The intervention of government's industrial policies is likely to lead to excessive intervention.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.61

【参考文献】