我国农村药品零售价格波动及其因素的研究

发布时间：2018-06-04 05:44

本文选题：农村药品零售市场 + 农村药品零售价格　；参考：《价格理论与实践》2017年03期

【摘要】：农村中西药品及医疗保健用品商品零售价格指数是反映我国农村居民医疗卫生卖方市场价格信号的重要指标,结合现实状况研究其波动特征具有重要的理论价值。本文利用ARCH族模型对该零售价格指数的波动特征进行实证分析。GARCH模型结果表明,该零售价格指数的波动记忆性较强,诸如医药政策改革、公共卫生危机一类的事件信息对于价格指数的冲击影响将是持久性的。EGARCH模型表明,整个样本期间,相较"利空消息"而言,"利多消息"对农村药品零售市场价格波动影响更大,为了稳定我国农村的药品零售市场,应预防突发性公共卫生事件对价格的冲击,增加稳定价格机制的宏观政策
[Abstract]:The retail price index of Chinese and western medicines and medical care products in rural areas is an important index to reflect the market price signals of medical and health sellers of rural residents in our country. It is of great theoretical value to study its fluctuation characteristics in combination with the reality. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the volatility characteristics of the retail price index by using ARCH family model. The results show that the volatility memory of the retail price index is strong, such as the reform of pharmaceutical policy. The .EGARCH model, which shows that the impact of event information such as public health crisis on the impact of price index will be persistent, shows that, over the whole sample period, "good news" has a greater impact on the price fluctuation of rural drug retail market than "bad news". In order to stabilize the drug retail market in rural areas of China, we should prevent the impact of sudden public health events on prices and increase the macro policy of price stabilization mechanism.
【作者单位】：中国财政科学研究院;
【分类号】：F426.72;F726

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