中韩电子产品贸易潜力研究

发布时间：2018-06-08 03:26

本文选题：中韩贸易 + 贸易引力模型　；参考：《辽宁大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在全球经济一体化进程加快的今天,形成区域经济一体化的趋势愈发明确,中国和韩国作为亚洲的代表国家,无论从历史渊源还是从现如今的政治、经济等角度看都有互通性。中韩两国的地理位置临近、产业结构具有一定的互补性且各自的经济都处于飞速发展的状态下,所以,中韩两国的合作对推动亚洲经济乃至世界经济都有着不可忽视的作用。自1993年两国建交以来,两国的贸易总量至2015年达到2758.2亿美元,可以说在建交的十几年间,两国的合作有了突破性的进展。此外,除了贸易总量的大幅度攀升外,中韩两国更是不断拓宽合作领域,深化合作层次,而其中电子产品的贸易成为两国贸易的重要组成部分。我国自改革开放以来,积极吸引外资本,大力推进我国产业结构升级,我国经历了几十年的发展,出口的产品种类正由劳动密集型的低级产品向着具有高附加值的资源技术密集型产品转变,而电子产品作为我国最重要的出口产品,占据了我国资本密集型出口产品的主要份额。另一方面,韩国一直以出口资源密集型产品为主,其中电子产品的出口额度更是占据了其四分之三的出口额,韩国同中国的进出口也以电子产品为主。所以,研究中国与韩国两国电子产品的贸易潜力是十分有必要的。文共分六个部分,第一部分介绍了本文选题的意义、研究的背景、目前学者对相关内容的研究、研究的思路和方法以及论文的创新和不足之处。第二部分是理论基础,介绍了比较优势理论、产业内贸易理论、竞争优势理论,同时介绍了引力模型和CMS模型。第三部分是中韩电子产品贸易发展的概况,首先从整体角度分析了中韩两国双边贸易的发展历程和现状,同时分析了两国整体的贸易结构,其次有针对性的分析了中韩两国电子产品的发展历程和现状、两国电子产品的贸易结构,同时将电子产品进行分类就不同的类别进行进一步的细致分析。第四部分运用了实证分析对中韩电子产品的贸易潜力进行分析,选取了25个国家2005-2015年的面板数据分析了贸易流量,并将其作为理论值和实际值进行比较得出中韩两国电子产品的贸易潜力,分析可得:韩国对中国电子产品的出口存在着一定程度上的“贸易过度”,而第四部分是中韩电子产品贸易潜力分析,运用25个国家2005-2015年的面板数据,发现中国对韩国电子产品的出口存在着“贸易不足”的现象,两国的电子产品贸易仍存在着巨大的潜力。第五部分是实现贸易潜力影响因素的研究,通过对中韩两国双边电子产品出口的增长因素进行分解,从竞争力效应、需求效应、结构效应进行讨论,发现竞争力效应、需求效应对中韩两国双边电子产品的出口增长有着促进作用,而结构效应对其则有阻碍作用。第六部分是根据文章的研究结果得出结论并有针对性的提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of global economic integration, the trend of regional economic integration is becoming more and more clear. China and South Korea, as the representative countries of Asia, have interoperability both from the historical origin and from the political and economic perspectives of the present day. The geographical position of China and South Korea is near, the industrial structure is complementary and their respective economies are in the state of rapid development. Therefore, the cooperation between China and South Korea plays an important role in promoting the Asian economy and even the world economy. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries in 1993, the total volume of trade between the two countries has reached 275.82 billion US dollars by 2015, which can be said that in the ten years since the establishment of diplomatic relations, the cooperation between the two countries has made a breakthrough. In addition, apart from the sharp increase in the total volume of trade, China and South Korea continue to broaden the fields of cooperation and deepen the level of cooperation, and the trade in electronic products has become an important part of the trade between the two countries. Since the reform and opening up, China has actively attracted foreign capital and vigorously promoted the upgrading of China's industrial structure. China has experienced decades of development. The types of products exported are changing from labor-intensive low-grade products to resource-technology-intensive products with high added value, while electronic products are the most important export products of our country. Occupied the main share of China's capital-intensive export products. On the other hand, South Korea has been mainly exporting resource-intensive products, of which the export quota of electronic products accounts for 3/4 of its exports, and the import and export of South Korea and China is also dominated by electronic products. Therefore, it is necessary to study the trade potential of electronic products between China and Korea. This paper is divided into six parts. The first part introduces the significance of the topic, the background of the research, the current research on the relevant content, research ideas and methods, as well as the innovation and shortcomings of the paper. The second part is the theoretical basis, including comparative advantage theory, intra-industry trade theory, competitive advantage theory, gravity model and CMS model. The third part is the general situation of the development of electronic products trade between China and South Korea. Firstly, it analyzes the development process and current situation of bilateral trade between China and South Korea from the overall perspective, and analyzes the overall trade structure of the two countries at the same time. Secondly, the paper analyzes the development process and current situation of electronic products in China and Korea, and the trade structure of electronic products in the two countries. At the same time, the electronic products are classified and analyzed in detail in different categories. The fourth part uses empirical analysis to analyze the trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea, and selects 25 countries' panel data from 2005 to 2015 to analyze trade flows. The trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea is obtained by comparing them as theoretical value and actual value. It is concluded that there is "excessive trade" in South Korea's exports of electronic products to China to a certain extent. The fourth part is an analysis of the trade potential of electronic products between China and South Korea. Using panel data from 25 countries from 2005 to 2015, we find that China's exports of electronic products to South Korea are under trade. There is still great potential for trade in electronics between the two countries. The fifth part is the research on the influencing factors of realizing the trade potential. Through the decomposition of the growth factors of the bilateral electronic products export between China and South Korea, we discuss the competitiveness effect, demand effect and structure effect, and find the competitiveness effect. The demand effect promotes the export growth of China and South Korea, while the structural effect hinders it. The sixth part is based on the results of the study and targeted policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752;F426.6

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