黑龙江省装备制造业转型升级影响因素研究——人口红利的视角

发布时间：2018-06-14 06:41

本文选题：人口红利 + 装备制造业　；参考：《哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年03期

【摘要】：装备制造业作为工业发展的基础,其转型升级对黑龙江省经济发展意义重大。以2000—2014年黑龙江省人口数量和人口质量为研究对象,采用多元线性回归法和格兰杰检验法分析人口红利对黑龙江省装备制造业转型升级的影响。研究结果表明:在人口数量方面,总抚养、少儿抚养比和老年抚养比与装备制造业产值之间存在负相关关系,其中,少儿抚养比的影响最大;在人口质量方面,装备制造业对高等教育人才的需求不足,高等教育就业人口与高技术装备制造业产值的增长之间存在着高度的正线性相关关系,但二者之间并不存在因果关系。
[Abstract]:As the foundation of industrial development, equipment manufacturing industry is of great significance to the economic development of Heilongjiang Province. Taking the population quantity and population quality of Heilongjiang Province from 2000 to 2014 as the research object, the effects of demographic dividend on the transformation and upgrading of the equipment manufacturing industry in Heilongjiang Province were analyzed by using multiple linear regression method and Granger test method. The results show that: in terms of population size, there is a negative correlation between total dependency, child dependency ratio and old age dependency ratio and equipment manufacturing output, among which, the child dependency ratio has the greatest impact on population quality. There is a high positive linear correlation between the employment population of higher education and the growth of the output value of high-tech equipment manufacturing industry, but there is no causal relationship between them.
【作者单位】：哈尔滨商业大学学术理论研究部;哈尔滨商业大学经济学院;
【基金】：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目“黑龙江省国有企业体制性产能过剩形成的机理及化解路径研究”(16JYB10)
【分类号】：C924.2;F426

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