石油危机对俄罗斯经济影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-25 03:14

本文选题：石油危机 + 俄罗斯经济　；参考：《沈阳理工大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：从2014年起国际石油价格开始迅速下跌,直接导致俄罗斯经济衰退。2013年到2015年国际油价从每桶118美元下滑至每桶不足50美元。石油价格的剧烈波动与西方国家对俄罗斯经济制裁措施造成俄罗斯货币危机和经济结构危机发生。俄罗斯是产油大国,目前俄罗斯已探明原油储量达到1114.42亿吨。俄罗斯的燃料动力联合体决定20%多国内总产值的附加值,50%左右国内出口总值及40%左右国家预算总税额。为了摆脱原料出口的依赖,俄罗斯应该采取许多调整经济结构和完善金融制度的政策措施。本文的重点在于俄罗斯经济现状分析,石油危机和石油市场的特点研究,国际油价波动如何影响俄罗斯经济发展,包括俄罗斯金融制度、进出口贸易、采掘业、加工业和服务业的发展。最终提出相应对策和建议。全文共分六个部分。绪论部分主要阐述论文题目的研究背景、国内外研究综述、研究方法和内容。第二章主要的内容是石油危机的相关理论以及石油危机与经济危机相互关系的分析。本文的第三章对于石油危机现状,俄罗斯石油市场和俄罗斯经济现状进行研究,包括进出口贸易、投资和国际合作的方面。第四章的内容是石油价格波动对俄罗斯经济的影响研究,以及石油危机发生之后,对于俄罗斯经济宏观指数的变化和各个行业发展数据进行分析。其中包括石油价格对俄罗斯国内总产值、贸易差额、收支平衡、通胀率影响分析,油价波动对俄罗斯卢布、采掘业、加工业和服务业发展影响研究,以及油价波动对俄罗斯人民生活水平影响研究,包括失业率,收入水平等。本文第五章的研究核心是对于石油危机对俄罗斯经济发展影响提出相关发展方向和建议。
[Abstract]:International oil prices have fallen rapidly since 2014, leading directly to a recession in Russia, with international oil prices falling from $118 a barrel to less than $50 a barrel between 2013 and 2015. The sharp fluctuation of oil price and western economic sanctions against Russia caused the crisis of Russian currency and economic structure. Russia is a major oil-producing country, Russia has proven crude oil reserves of 111.442 billion tons. Russia's fuel-powered consortium decided to add more than 20% of GDP to about 50% of GDP and about 40% of total state budget taxes. In order to get rid of the dependence of raw material export, Russia should take many policy measures to adjust the economic structure and perfect the financial system. This paper focuses on the analysis of Russia's economic situation, the oil crisis and the characteristics of the oil market, how the fluctuation of international oil prices affects the development of the Russian economy, including the Russian financial system, import and export trade, and extractive industries. The development of processing and service industries. Finally, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. The full text is divided into six parts. The introduction part mainly elaborates the research background, the domestic and foreign research summary, the research method and the content. The second chapter is about the theory of oil crisis and the relationship between oil crisis and economic crisis. The third chapter studies the current situation of the oil crisis, the Russian oil market and the Russian economy, including import and export trade, investment and international cooperation. The fourth chapter is about the impact of oil price fluctuation on the Russian economy, and the analysis of the changes of the macro index of Russian economy and the development data of various industries after the oil crisis. These include an analysis of the impact of oil prices on Russia's GDP, trade balance, balance of payments, inflation, and the impact of oil price fluctuations on the development of Russian roubles, extractive industries, processing industries and services. And the impact of oil price fluctuations on the living standards of the Russian people, including the unemployment rate, income levels and so on. The core of the fifth chapter is the development direction and suggestion on the impact of the oil crisis on Russia's economic development.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F416.22;F151.2

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