“十三五”全国油气资源勘查开采规划2016年度目标执行情况评估

发布时间：2018-08-13 10:53

【摘要】：2016年是中国"十三五"规划的开局之年,相关部门陆续发布了油气资源领域的纲领性文件,对全国油气资源勘查开采制定了详细的规划。对相关规划实施效果进行及时的评估、提出改善意见建议,对于维护国家油气资源安全、规范资源勘查开发意义重大。为此,从石油、常规天然气、非常规天然气等三个方面梳理了相关规划的目标,并对实施进展进行了评估。结果表明:①2016年我国石油、天然气、煤层气新增探明地质储量分别为9.14×10~8 t、7 265.59×10~8 m~3和576.12×10~8 m~3,完成各年均规划目标的91.40%、121.09%和68.5 9%,页岩气无新发现;②石油、天然气、煤层气和页岩气产量分别为1.997×10~8 t、1 231.72×10~8 m~3、168.51×10~8 m~3和78.82×10~8 m~3,完成各年均规划目标的99.85%、72.45%、105.32%和26.27%,其中石油产量同比减少1 486×10~4 t,降幅为6.93%,为2008年金融危机以来首次减产;③受低油价和投资持续下降的影响,石油、天然气产能建设相比"十二五"期间年均产能建设降幅约30%、50%,油气产业可持续发展形势严峻。结论认为:在持续低油价的形势下,仅靠现有体制和技术完成"十三五"全国油气勘查开采规划目标难度较大,迫切需要加快油气体制机制改革、强化技术创新、稳定并努力增加勘查开采投入,以稳定石油、增加天然气产能建设规模,提高国内能源资源供应保障能力。
[Abstract]:2016 is the beginning of the 13th Five-Year Plan of China. The relevant departments have successively issued programmatic documents in the field of oil and gas resources and formulated detailed plans for the exploration and exploitation of oil and gas resources throughout the country. It is of great significance for the national oil and gas resources security and the standardization of the exploration and development of oil and gas resources to carry out timely evaluation of the implementation effect of the relevant plans and put forward suggestions for improving the national oil and gas resources. For this reason, this paper combs the related planning goals from three aspects: oil, conventional natural gas and unconventional natural gas, and evaluates the progress of implementation. The results show that: (1) the newly proved geological reserves of petroleum, natural gas and coalbed methane in China in 2016 are 9.14 脳 10 ~ (8) t ~ (7) 265.59 脳 10 ~ (8) m ~ (3) and 576.12 脳 10 ~ (8) m ~ (3) respectively, and 91.40% and 68.59% of the annual planning targets have been completed respectively, and there is no new discovery of 2 oil and natural gas in shale gas. The production of coalbed methane and shale gas were 1.997 脳 10 ~ (8) t ~ (-1) 231.72 脳 10 ~ (8) t ~ (-1) and 78.82 脳 10 ~ (8) ~ (8) m ~ (3), respectively. The oil production decreased by 1.486 脳 10 ~ (4) t, which was the first reduction since the financial crisis in 2008. Under the influence of low oil price and continuous decrease of investment, the construction of oil and natural gas production capacity is about 30% 50% lower than that of the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The situation of sustainable development of oil and gas industry is severe. The conclusion is that under the situation of persistent low oil price, it is difficult to complete the target of the "13th Five-Year Plan" of oil and gas exploration and production only by the existing system and technology. It is urgent to speed up the reform of oil and gas system and mechanism and strengthen technological innovation. To stabilize and increase the investment in exploration and exploitation, to stabilize oil, to increase the scale of natural gas production capacity construction, and to improve the supply and support capacity of domestic energy resources.
【作者单位】：国土资源部油气资源战略研究中心;国土资源部国土资源战略研究重点实验室;
【基金】：国土资源部规划司委托国土资源部油气资源战略研究中心重点项目“全国矿产资源规划(2016—2020年)实施情况评估研究”(编号:2016YQKY0103)
【分类号】：F426.22

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