技术进步对二氧化碳排放的影响效应研究——基于省级面板门限模型

发布时间：2018-09-19 20:08

【摘要】：本文以STIRPAT模型为基础,构造东中西部省级面板模型,深入分析技术进步的三种不同途径即自主研发、技术引进和模仿创新对二氧化碳排放的不同影响效应,实证研究结果显示:经济相对发达的东中部地区,尤其是东部地区,技术引进和自主创新对二氧化碳排放有显著的增加作用,模仿创新对二氧化碳排放有显著的抑制效果;而西部地区上述三种技术进步方式对二氧化碳排放的影响效应均不显著。在此结论基础上,本文以工业产值占比为门限变量构造面板门限模型,对模仿创新的减排效应进行进一步的统计分析,结果显示:工业产值占比越大,模仿创新的减排效应越弱。
[Abstract]:Based on the STIRPAT model, this paper constructs the provincial panel model of east, west and west, and analyzes three different ways of technological progress, that is, independent research and development, different effects of technology introduction and imitation innovation on carbon dioxide emissions. The empirical results show that technology introduction and independent innovation can significantly increase carbon dioxide emissions in the eastern and middle regions, especially in the eastern region, and imitative innovation has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon dioxide emissions; However, the effects of the above three technological advances on carbon dioxide emissions in the western region are not significant. On the basis of this conclusion, this paper constructs a panel threshold model with industrial output value as threshold variable, and makes a further statistical analysis of the emission-reduction effect of imitation innovation. The results show that the larger the proportion of industrial output value is, The emission-reduction effect of imitating innovation is weaker.
【作者单位】：集美大学工商管理学院;厦门大学经济学院;
【基金】：福建省社会科学规划项目“供给侧结构性改革背景下福建省产业创新驱动战略研究”(FJ2016B138)
【分类号】：F424;X22

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