锂电池板块行情实证研究
发布时间：2019-02-12 15:56
【摘要】：近些年来主板和创业板中的热点板块,因过度预期和炒作,脱离实际经济发展速度,成为股灾的重要因素。选取了近几年人们关注的热点板块——锂电池板块,选取了2014—2015年其98家上市公司的财务指标,通过分析上市公司财务指标,建立Logistic回归模型,预测热点板块的股价现行走势,判断公司股价是否脱离实际业绩增长。最终的实证分析结果显示,无论是在新能源,还是在未来的充电汽车应用上,锂电池都有很大潜在价值。锂电池板块的上市公司财务指标大多数都是表现良好的,因此股价看多趋势是有经济基础支撑的,没有过度的炒作。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the hot spots in the main board and the gem have become an important factor in the stock market disaster because of excessive expectation and speculation, and divorced from the actual economic development speed. This paper selects the hot plate of people's attention in recent years, the lithium battery plate, selects the financial index of 98 listed companies in 2014-2015, establishes the Logistic regression model by analyzing the financial index of the listed company. Forecast the current trend of hot-spot stock prices, judge whether the company's share price is divorced from real performance growth. The final empirical results show that lithium batteries have great potential value in both new energy sources and future applications of rechargeable vehicles. Most of the financial indicators of listed companies in the lithium battery sector are doing well, so the bullish trend of stock prices is supported by the economic basis, without excessive hype.
【作者单位】： 上海理工大学管理学院;
【分类号】：F426.6;F832.51
本文编号：2420573
[Abstract]:In recent years, the hot spots in the main board and the gem have become an important factor in the stock market disaster because of excessive expectation and speculation, and divorced from the actual economic development speed. This paper selects the hot plate of people's attention in recent years, the lithium battery plate, selects the financial index of 98 listed companies in 2014-2015, establishes the Logistic regression model by analyzing the financial index of the listed company. Forecast the current trend of hot-spot stock prices, judge whether the company's share price is divorced from real performance growth. The final empirical results show that lithium batteries have great potential value in both new energy sources and future applications of rechargeable vehicles. Most of the financial indicators of listed companies in the lithium battery sector are doing well, so the bullish trend of stock prices is supported by the economic basis, without excessive hype.
【作者单位】： 上海理工大学管理学院;
【分类号】：F426.6;F832.51
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