“一带一路”钢铁贸易格局及演变规律研究

发布时间：2019-07-20 07:34

【摘要】："一带一路"倡议为沿途各国钢铁贸易带来了契机,本文综合运用复杂网络的分析方法对2005~2014年"一带一路"沿线65个国家的钢铁贸易格局及演变规律进行了研究,探讨了国家间竞争与依赖关系,以期促进中国的钢铁贸易。研究结果表明:"一带一路"沿线国家的钢铁贸易呈多元化格局,且以中国、俄罗斯、印度、土耳其、乌克兰为贸易核心。除2008年经济危机,在2012年以前整体"一带一路"钢铁市场贸易额呈上升趋势,2012年之后5大核心国中只有中国钢铁出口保持着高速持续增长,成为最大的钢铁出口国。地缘相近的国家普遍具有紧密的贸易关系,而中国钢铁出口的主要市场为南亚及东南亚地区。中东地区钢铁市场竞争激烈,钢铁需求量巨大,是中国需要大力开拓的国际市场。
[Abstract]:The "Belt and Road Initiative" initiative has brought an opportunity for the iron and steel trade of all countries along the way. This paper studies the pattern and evolution of iron and steel trade in 65 countries along Belt and Road Initiative from 2005 to 2014 by using the method of complex network analysis, and probes into the relationship between competition and dependence between countries in order to promote China's iron and steel trade. The results show that the iron and steel trade of countries along Belt and Road Initiative is diversified, with China, Russia, India, Turkey and Ukraine as the core of trade. In addition to the 2008 economic crisis, the overall "Belt and Road Initiative" steel market trade volume showed an upward trend before 2012, only China's steel exports have maintained rapid and sustained growth after 2012, becoming the largest steel exporter. Geographically similar countries generally have close trade relations, and the main markets for China's steel exports are South and Southeast Asia. The Middle East iron and steel market competition is fierce, the steel demand is huge, is China needs to open up the international market vigorously.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院;河北科技大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目“网络组织复杂性测试及应对策略研究”(13CGL002) 河北省科技厅计划项目“京津冀现代生产服务业与制造业协同发展研究”(164576167D)
【分类号】：F426.31;F752

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