金融危机期间中国对美国出口下跌分解研究

发布时间：2017-12-27 17:12

本文关键词：金融危机期间中国对美国出口下跌分解研究　出处：《国际经贸探索》2014年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章对金融危机期间,中国对美国的出口下跌进行详细的结构分解研究。利用2007~2009年中国出口到美国22类HS-10分位产品的月度数据,将出口增长率的变化分解为数量效应、价格效应、老产品退出效应和新产品进入效应,再通过与墨西哥对美国出口的比较分析,深入探讨金融危机期间中国出口下降的深层机理,这将有利于了解中国对外贸易的优劣势,优化出口商品结构,提升应对未来可能发生的国际风险之能力。研究表明中国对美出口下降主要受数量效应的影响,下跌幅度不大,主要得益于价格效应的正向抵消作用,而老产品退出效应和新产品进入效应的影响较小。
[Abstract]:During the financial crisis, the article studies the detailed structural decomposition of China's export decline in the United States. The use of 2007~2009 China exports to the United States 22 monthly data into HS-10 products, will change the export growth rate is decomposed into quantity effect, price effect, old products out of effect and new products into effect, through the analysis and comparison of exports to the United States of Mexico, the deep mechanism discussed during the financial crisis Chinese exports fell. This will be helpful to the understanding of the advantages and disadvantages of Chinese foreign trade, optimize the structure of export commodities, improve the response to possible future international risk ability. The study shows that the decline in China's exports to the US is mainly affected by the quantitative effect, and the decline is not large, mainly due to the positive counteraction of the price effect, while the old product exit effect and the new product entry effect are less affected.
【作者单位】：广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院;
【分类号】：F752.62;F831.59
【正文快照】： 一、引言2007年8月美国次贷危机全面爆发并传导到实体经济,美国和主要发达国家的经济出现了大幅萎缩,并经金融和贸易等渠道传导到发展中国家,进而演变为一场全球性的经济金融危机,导致全球经济衰退,各国也都受到不同程度的影响。中国作为一个出口大国,高度依赖国际市场的需求,

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