欧债危机对中国金融的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 15:34

本文关键词：欧债危机对中国金融的影响研究　出处：《东北财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当全球还未从由美国次贷危机引起的全球金融危机的阴影中走出来之时,2009年底始于希腊的欧债危机开始引爆并迅速蔓延。欧债危机是全球金融危机由私人部门向公共部门的蔓延,有可能带来世界经济的第二次探底。随着欧债危机的不断深化,欧债危机已经发展成为全球关注的焦点。欧洲各国政府、欧洲中央银行和欧盟一直在就如何救助进行商讨,也陆续出台了一系列救助措施,虽然取得一定的效果,但欧债危机前景仍然令人堪忧。在欧债危机的影响下,全球实体经济增速放缓,美、日、欧等发达经济体以及新兴经济体均受到欧债危机的影响,在经济全球化的大背景下,中国作为新兴经济体中最大的发展中国家,金融体系受欧债危机的影响已经逐渐显露。因此,研究欧债危机及其对中国金融的影响具有十分重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文在综合和汲取现有研究成果的基础上,充分考虑目前欧债危机的大背景,综合运用理论与实践相结合,定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法,结合欧债危机最新的相关数据,并建立Garch模型和VAR模型,主要侧重于对我国银行业产生的影响,多角度、多层次地对欧债危机对我国金融的影响进行了比较系统的研究。本文共分为五部分：第一章,绪论。对本文的选题背景和现实意义、欧债危机的概念、文献综述、研究内容和研究方法以及创新点逐一介绍。第二章,欧债危机的形成和发展。分析和阐述了欧债危机爆发的原因,欧债危机向欧洲的蔓延以及欧债危机向全球经济的传导,分析了欧债危机的现状。第三章,欧债危机对中国金融的影响。从人民币汇率和外汇储备、国际游资冲击、银行业等角度多层次的运用定性分析的方法研究欧债危机对中国金融带来的影响。第四章,欧洲债务危机对中国金融影响的实证分析。结合上一章的分析并运用实证检验相结合的方法对欧债危机对人民币汇率、国际资本流动、银行信贷状况和银行的流动性进行了实证检验。第五章,提出了中国应对欧债危机的相关政策建议和措施。本文认为,要加强我国经济结构的调整,加快转变经济增长方式；抓住海外并购的良好机会；金融危机和欧债危机为人民币走向国际化创造了良好的契机,应加快推进人民币国际化；有效推进人民币汇率制度改革,保持人民币币值稳定；要实现外汇储备的多元化；扩大内需与稳固外需齐头并进；强化对金融机构的监管及金融机构的改革。
[Abstract]:When the world is not from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis caused by the global financial crisis to come out of the shadows at the end of 2009 began in Greece's debt crisis began to explode and spread quickly. The European debt crisis of the global financial crisis by the private sector to the public sector spread, may second with world economy. With the bottom of the afterlife the deepening of the European debt crisis, the European debt crisis has become the focus of global attention. The governments of Europe, the European Central Bank and the European Union has been in discussions on how to rescue, also has issued a series of relief measures, although have a certain effect, but the European debt crisis is still worrying prospect. The impact of the European debt the crisis, the global real economy slowdown, beautiful, day, Europe and other developed economies and emerging economies are affected by the European debt crisis, under the background of economic globalization, as a new China The largest developing country in the economy, the financial system has been gradually exposed to the impact of the European debt crisis. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the European debt crisis and its impact on China's finance.
Based on the comprehensive and draw on existing research results, considering the background of the European debt crisis at present, using a combination of theory and practice, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis method combining the related data with the debt crisis in the new, and the establishment of Garch model and VAR model, mainly focuses on the effect of of China's banking industry multi angle, a comparative study of the European debt crisis on the impact of China's financial system of multi-level.
This article is divided into five parts:
The first chapter, introduction. The background and practical significance of the topic, the concept of the European debt crisis, the literature review, the research content and research methods and the innovation point by one.
The second chapter, the formation and development of the European debt crisis, analyzes and expounds the reasons for the outbreak of the European debt crisis, the spread of the European debt crisis to Europe, and the transmission of the European debt crisis to the global economy, and analyzes the current situation of the European debt crisis.
The third chapter, the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance. From the perspective of RMB exchange rate and foreign exchange reserves, international hot money shocks and banking industry, we use qualitative analysis to study the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance.
The fourth chapter is the empirical analysis of the impact of European debt crisis on China's finance. Combined with the previous chapter's analysis and empirical test, we conduct an empirical test on the RMB exchange rate, international capital flows, bank credit and liquidity of the European debt crisis.
The fifth chapter puts forward relevant policy suggestions and measures to deal with the debt crisis in Chinese. This paper argues that to strengthen the adjustment of our economic structure, accelerate the transformation of economic growth; seize the good opportunity of overseas mergers and acquisitions; financial crisis and the European debt crisis for the internationalization of the RMB to create a good opportunity, should accelerate the internationalization of RMB; to effectively promote the reform of the RMB exchange rate system, maintain the stability of the Renminbi; to achieve diversification of foreign exchange reserves; to expand domestic demand and steady demand go hand in hand; strengthen the reform and financial supervision of financial institutions of the machine structure.

【学位授予单位】：东北财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F815;F832

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