兵团城镇化建设进程中的金融支持研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 00:19

本文关键词： 金融支持城镇化综合评价典型相关路径分析金融效应　出处：《石河子大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：兵团城镇化有效推动新疆地经济和社会地发展,现今兵团存在师市分设、支柱产业较弱、金融资金缺乏及环境约束很强等问题。本研究以兵团城镇化建设进程中的金融支持为研究对象,从实证角度对金融支持人口、产业及空间城镇化的效应进行印证,并得出相关结论。第一部分：主要论述本文的选题背景和研究意义,接着对国内外研究现状作一简单总结,明确研究对象、研究方法及本文的创新与不足之处。第二部分首先对人口城镇化、产业城镇化、金融城镇化和金融发展的概念及内涵进行界定,再对金融支持人口、空间及产业相关理论进行阐述。第三部分：兵团金融发展与城镇化建设的现状评析。从金融发展现状、城镇化发展现状以及二者之间互动关系进行讨论,分析得出在全国金融体制改革的背景下,兵团金融业正趋于多元化发展,现代银行体系逐步形成、金融服务能力有了一定的提高,再对兵团城镇化的变化历程进行描述分析,验证兵团城镇化的变化过程符合一般城镇化演进规律。第四部分：兵团城镇化与金融支持的协调性分析。先根据兵团1990至2010年间的数据,构建金融支持城镇化建设进程地指标体系；其次进行城镇化与金融支持的对比分析,运用改进熵权法分析得出虽然城镇化综合指数得分是逐年上升的,但人口及产业城镇化指数的作用并没完全体现,同时,金融支持综合得分增速较为平稳,其中金融支持结构、人口城镇化年环比为负增长；最终由协调度结果表明城镇化呈现明显地上升趋势,金融的支持度变化不大,城镇化中的金融支持协调度不太高,并且发展增速较为缓慢。第五部分：重点讨论城镇化建设进程中的金融支持效应。第一运用协整、格兰杰检验进行二者整体相关性及因果分析,分析得出城镇化是金融支持的单向原因；第二使用典型相关测算金融支持人口、产业及空间的效应,结果显示金融规模及效率推动金融地发展,金融结构对金融发展有抑制作用,空间城镇化对城镇化发展具有促进作用,人口及产业对城镇化具有抑制作用；第三路径分析结果显示出,一是金融规模、效率支持空间城镇化地效应较为显著,二是金融结构推动人口地城镇化、抑制产业和空间的城镇化；最后探讨金融支持对不同规模的城市是否存在效应差异,首先运用综合评价法对阿石河子市、阿拉尔市、图木舒克市及五家渠市的城镇化建设进程进行区域差异分析,发现人口与空间城镇化对四市城镇化发展具有正向促进作用,同时2004-2010年间石河子市城镇化综合发展水平高于其他三市,再对四市的金融支持效应进行区域差异分析,发现四市金融发展水平均较低,2004-2010年四市金融支持综合因子排名波动较大,不存在明显高低之分。第六部分：根据分析理论和实证检验的研究结论,提出了完善金融结构、促进金融发展、加大人口城镇化的金融支持力度、加大产业城镇化的金融支持力度、完善区域协调保障体系、充分利用资本市场支持人口城镇化发展、银行与资本市场结合、充分利用金融规模及金融效率促进空间城镇化发展等建议促进城镇化建设进程中的金融支持效应,以及指出本研究的不足之处和有待进一步研究的问题。论文对兵团金融发展支持城镇化进行相关分析,在研究角度和方法应用上有一定的创新,并根据分析结论提出了一些具有可操作性的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization effectively promote Xinjiang's economic and social development, the existing Corps division city is divided into weak, lack of funds and financial pillar industries, strong environmental constraints and other issues. In this study, urbanization in the process of constructing the financial support as the research object, from the empirical angle to the financial support of population, verifies the effect of industry and the space of urbanization, and draw relevant conclusions.
The first part mainly discusses the background and significance of this paper, then the research status at home and abroad to make a simple summary, clear the research object, research method and innovation and shortcomings of this paper. The second part of the population urbanization, industrial urbanization, defines the concept and connotation of urbanization financial and financial development, and financial support for the population, the theory of spatial and industry in this paper. The third part: analysis of the current situation of financial development and Urban Construction Corps. From the current situation of financial, urbanization development as well as the interaction between the two is discussed. The analysis on the reform of the national financial system under the background of the Corps financial industry which is diversified development the modern banking system gradually formed, the financial service ability has been improved, and then change the course of urbanization of the descriptive analysis, verification of Urbanization The process of change accords with the evolution law of general urbanization.
The fourth part: the urbanization and the coordination of financial support analysis. According to the 1990 corps to 2010 years of data, construction of financial support the construction of urbanization index system; secondly, urbanization and financial support of the comparative analysis, using entropy analysis shows that although the comprehensive urbanization index score is rising year by year however, the population and the industrial index of urbanization and the role of not fully reflected, at the same time, the financial support of the comprehensive score of growth is relatively stable, the financial support structure, population urbanization year-on-year negative growth; final results show that the coordination degree of urbanization has significantly increased, the financial support of little change, urbanization the financial support of the coordination degree is not too high, and the growth rate is relatively slow.
The fifth part: focus on the effect of financial support in the process of urbanization. The first use of cointegration test, Grainger correlation and causal analysis of the overall analysis of the two, that the urbanization is one-way reasons of financial support; second canonical correlation calculation of financial support in the industry and space effect, shows that the financial scale and efficiency promote the financial development, financial structure has inhibitory effect on financial development, has a role in promoting the urbanization development of urban space, population and industry have inhibitory effect on urbanization; the third path analysis results show that a financial support efficiency scale, space urbanization effect is significant, two is the financial structure to promote the urbanization inhibition of population, industry and space urbanization; finally discusses the financial support for the existence of different scale city effect difference, first use of comprehensive Evaluation of a Shihezi City, alar city, regional difference analysis Tumushuke city and Wujiaqu City urbanization process that has a positive role in promoting the development of urbanization, population and space of four towns, and 2004-2010 years of Shihezi city urbanization comprehensive development level is higher than that of the other three cities, and the effect of financial support for the four city the regional difference analysis, found that the financial development level of four cities were low, 2004-2010 years, four financial support for comprehensive factor ranking fluctuations, there is no obvious difference.
The sixth part: according to the theoretical research and empirical analysis conclusion, put forward to improve the financial structure, promote financial development, increase the financial support of population urbanization, increase the financial support for the industry of urbanization, improve the regional coordinated security system, make full use of the capital market to support the development of the urban population, banking and capital markets combined. Make full use of the financial scale and financial efficiency and promote the development of urban space that can improve the effect of financial support in the process of urbanization, and points out the inadequacies of the study and further research problems. The Corps financial development and urbanization by correlation analysis, has some innovations in research angle and method. And puts forward some operable suggestions according to the conclusions of the analysis.

【学位授予单位】：石河子大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.21;F832.7;F224

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