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东亚区域货币合作研究

发布时间:2018-03-21 03:52

  本文选题:东亚 切入点:区域货币合作 出处:《广西大学》2006年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文


【摘要】:本文首先对有关区域货币合作的几种理论进行介绍,包括最优货币区理论、溢出理论、货币效应论、国际货币霸权稳定论、一个市场一种货币理论。在总结相关理论的基础上简要回顾了已有的区域货币合作实践——欧洲货币一体化、拉美地区美元化和非洲货币联盟。从中这些实践中得到的启示是货币合作是区域经济一体化的必然结果,东亚区域货币合作符合国际货币秩序发展趋势,区域货币合作在不同地区可以采取不同的模式。其次,本文结合东亚区域货币合作的背景与进展,重点分析了东亚区域货币合作的必要性与可行性,,指出尽管东亚区域货币一体化尚属远期设想,但是目前东亚已经具备货币合作的初始条件,可以着手进行低层次的货币金融合作。文章进而就东亚区域货币合作的路径、模式进行探讨,指出基于客观现实东亚货币合作应当从初级到高级分三阶段进行,分别是危机救助阶段、汇率协调阶段和货币一体化阶段。对于钉住美元制、钉住日元制、BBC规则和AERM四种可选的汇率协调方式,作为一种次优选择应该选取BBC规则;对于东亚区域货币单一化,可行的方案是采用多重货币区的方式实现。最后,本文认定中国在东亚区域货币合作中可以扮演重要角色并应该采取积极态度,主动参与、力争主导。为此,应该不断完善我国国内的货币金融政策,并有步骤地推进人民币的国际化。
[Abstract]:This paper first introduces several theories about regional monetary cooperation, including optimal currency area theory, spillover theory, monetary effect theory, international monetary hegemony stability theory. On the basis of summarizing the relevant theories, this paper briefly reviews the existing practice of regional monetary cooperation-European monetary integration. The enlightenment from these practices is that monetary cooperation is the inevitable result of regional economic integration, and the regional monetary cooperation in East Asia conforms to the development trend of international monetary order. Regional monetary cooperation can adopt different models in different regions. Secondly, this paper analyzes the necessity and feasibility of regional monetary cooperation in East Asia, combining with the background and progress of regional monetary cooperation in East Asia. It is pointed out that although the regional monetary integration in East Asia is still a long-term idea, East Asia already has the initial conditions for monetary cooperation at present, and can proceed with the monetary and financial cooperation at a lower level. In this paper, the path of regional monetary cooperation in East Asia is further discussed. Based on the objective reality, the monetary cooperation in East Asia should be divided into three stages, namely, crisis relief, exchange rate coordination and currency integration. As a sub-optimal choice, we should choose the BBC rule as a sub-optimal choice. For the unification of East Asian currencies, the feasible solution is to adopt the multi-currency area approach. Finally, This paper concludes that China can play an important role in the regional monetary cooperation in East Asia and should take a positive attitude, take the initiative to participate and strive to lead. Therefore, China's domestic monetary and financial policies should be continuously improved. And step by step to promote the internationalization of the renminbi.
【学位授予单位】:广西大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2006
【分类号】:F823

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